Predictability of energy technology progress


In this project we are evaluating the predictability of technological progress in energy technologies. Using evidence from a range of different technologies, we are developing methods to produce distributional forecasts, showing not only the median prediction but also the uncertainty surrounding the future costs of energy technologies.

People: Francois Lafond, Doyne Farmer & Cameron Hepburn

Project Leader / Primary Investigator

Prof Cameron Hepburn