Past Event

"Democracy-Growth Dynamics for Richer and Poorer Countries" - Heinrich H. Nax

We study the empirical relationship between democracy and growth using grid-based panel regression and regime-transition frameworks. Our set-up nests several existing approaches, such as Barro (1996) and Gerring et al. (2005), and reconciles their conflicting messages in a more general model, and we identify the best-fitting discounts and memories. Our main finding is that democracy -- best-modelled as a stock variable -- does cause growth, especially beyond the immediate short-run, by enabling the accumulation of physical, human, social and political capitals. Beyond threshold levels of democratic and economic development, however, there are incentives for de-democratization in order to boost short-run growth at the cost of higher sustained long-run growth.


11 March 2016 13:00 - 14:00


INET Oxford

Eagle House, Walton Well Road, Oxford, OX2 6ED