Items by programme: Economic Modelling

Title Date
Housing, Debt and the Economy: a Tale of Two Countries
Mobile Money and the Economy: A Review of the Evidence
When are Prediction Market Prices Most Informative?
Formula I(1) and I(2): Race Tracks for Likelihood Maximization Algorithms of I(1) and I(2) VAR Models
Explaining Nowcast Errors
The Future of Macroeconomics: Macro Theory and Models at the Bank of England
Carbon Dioxide Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios
Do Macro-Forecasters Herd?
Accelerated Estimation of Switching Algorithms: The Cointegrated VAR Model and Other Applications
Over-Dispersed Age-Period-Cohort Models
Automated General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling of the Mean of Variance of Regressions, and Indicator Saturation Methods for Outliers and Structural Breaks
Marked and Weighted Empirical Processes of Residuals with the Applications to Robust Regressions
White Heteroscedasticity Testing in Robust Regressions
Forecasting!
Selecting a Model for Forecasting
Avoiding 'Cautionary Notes about Robustness' by using Model Selection
Cointegration Analysis of Time Series using CATS for OxMetrics
First-in, First-out: Modelling the UK's CO2 Emissions, 1860-2016
Analyzing Differences between Scenarios
Coastal sea level rise with warming below 2°C
Consumption, household portfolios and the housing market in France
Global probabilistic projections of extreme sea levels show intensification of coastal flood hazard
INET Oxford Summer Research Update 2018 - Slides
No. 2018-10 - The Future of Macroeconomics
Climate change: past, present and future
Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming
21st century sea-level rise in line with the Paris Accord
The impact of ice melting uncertainty on damage risks for major coastal cities
Sifting through the ASHE: job polarization and earnings inequality in the UK, 1975-2015
A Nowcast Error Taxonomy
What Drives House Price Cycles? International Experience and Policy Issues
Imperfect Knowledge, Unpredictability and the Failures of Modern Macroeconomics
Consumption, household portfolios and the housing market in France
Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming
Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter