Items by programme: Economic Modelling

Title Date
Open-Model Forecast-Error Taxonomies
Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2
Housing and the economy
Inequality debt and growth
Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both or neither?
Improving forecast accuracy in an emerging economy, South Africa, by means of changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation
Forecasting from Structural Econometric Models
Kernel density estimation for time series data
Population, inequality and global justice
Prosperity and fairness
Programme on Economic Modelling Launch Conference
Empirical Economic Model Discovery and Theory Evaluation (2011 Article)
1st Annual Amartya Sen Lecture by Tony Atkinson
Inequality over the past century
The dynamics of high incomes over the last century
(in Spanish) La dinámica de la concentración del ingreso en países desarrollados y en desarrollo: Una perspectiva desde los altos ingresos.
Asymptotic Behavior of the Cusum of Squares Test under Stochastic and Deterministic Time Trends
Forecasting Breaks and During Breaks
Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting
Credit, housing collateral, and consumption: Evidence from Japan, the UK, and the US
Forecasting from misspecified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts
Justifying Empirical Macro-econometric Evidence
A Tale of Three Cities Model Selection in Over-, Exact, and Under-specified Equations
Automatic Selection for Non-linear Models
On not evaluating economic models by forecast outcomes
Mathematical models and economic forecasting: Some uses & misuses of mathematics in economics
Revisiting UK consumers’ expenditure: cointegration, breaks and robust forecasts
Climate Change: Possible lessons for our future from the distant past
Combining Disaggregate Forecasts or Combining Disaggregate Information to Forecast an Aggregate
Forecasting in an Extended Chain-Ladder-Type Model
House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience
'We've never had it so good' - how does the world today compare to 1957?
The Restoration of Welfare Economics
What Needs Rethinking in Macroeconomics?
Cash Flow Simulation for a Model of Outstanding Liabilities Based on Claim Amounts and Claim Numbers