Working Papers

Title Date
World CO2 Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios
Bayesian Estimation of Agent-Based Models
Have we become more indebted?
Forecasters' disagreement about how the economy operates, and the role of long-run relationships
Credit Conditions and Consumption, House Prices and Debt: What Makes Canada Different?
Uniform inference in nonparametric predictive regression, and a unified limit theory for spatial density estimation
Consistent estimation of agent-based models by simulated minimum distance
Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?
The ins and outs of top income mobility
Income poverty, affluence and polarisation viewed from the median
Inequality and Banking Crises: A First Look
Information Forcasting Models for Uganda
Robust inference in structural VARs with long-run restrictions
Outlier Detection Algorithms for Least Squares Time Series
Causal transmission in reduced-form models
Technological Change as a Determinant of Redistribution Preferences
Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs
The Future of Agent-Based Modelling
The Intrafirm Complexity of Systemically Important Financial Institutions
The Intrafirm Complexity of Systemically Important Financial Institutions
The Great Recession, Austerity and Inequality: Evidence from Ireland
Monitoring the evolution of income poverty and real incomes over time
World CO2 Emission Intensity is Rising Faster than IPCC Scenarios Envisaged
Beyond the Square Root: Evidence for Logarithmic Dependence of Market Impact on Size and Participation Rate
Automated Liquidity Provision
Prediction Markets, Twitter and Bigotgate
Competing with the Dragon: Employment and Wage Effects of Chinese Trade Competition in 17 Sectors Across 18 OECD Countries
On Fixing International Cricket Matches
Assessing the Evidence of Macro-Forecaster Herding: Forecasts of Inflation and Output Growth
The Evolution of Social Norms
Asymptotic theory for cointegration analysis when the cointegration rank is deficient
Deviance Analysis of Age-period-cohort Models
The Ecology and Energetics of Hunter-Gatherer Residential Mobility
Testing for Monotonicity under Endogeneity: An Application to the Reservation Wage Function
Joint Liability Group Formation: Social and Economic Selection Mechanisms