Jan 2025
Article

Net zero: Strategy and tactics
Jennifer L. Castle , Ebba Mark , David F. Hendry , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Aug 2024
Journal

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
in Science
Annika Stechemesser , Nicolas Koch , Ebba Mark , Elina Dilger , Patrick Klösel , Laura Menicacci , Daniel Nachtigall , Felix Pretis , Nolan Ritter , Moritz Schwarz , Helena Vossen , Anna Wenzel

Feb 2024
Journal

Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change
in Journal of Econometrics
Xiyu Jiao , Felix Pretis , Moritz Schwarz

Nov 2023
Journal

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect
in Climatic Change
Robert F. Kaufmann , Felix Pretis

Mar 2023
Working Paper

Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions
Ryan Rafaty , Geoffroy Dolphin , Felix Pretis

Mar 2023
Journal

Large weather and conflict effects on internal discplacement in Somalia with little evidence of feedback onto conflict
in Global Environmental Change
Lisa Thalheimer , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Sept 2022
Journal

Attributing agnostically detected large reductions in road CO2 emissions to policy mixes
in Nature Energy
Nicolas Koch , Lennard Naumann , Felix Pretis , Nolan Ritter , Moritz Schwarz

Jun 2022
Journal

Testing the presence of outliers in regression models
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Xiyu Jiao , Felix Pretis

May 2022
Journal

Does a carbon tax reduce CO2 emissions? Evidence from British Columbia
in Environmental and Resource Economics
Felix Pretis

Mar 2022
Journal

Analysing differences between scenarios
in International Journal of Forecasting
David F. Hendry , Felix Pretis

Feb 2021
Journal

Exogeneity in climate econometrics
in Energy Economics
Felix Pretis

Feb 2021
Journal

Understanding glacial cycles: A multivariate disequilibrium approach
in Quaternary Science Reviews
Felix Pretis , Robert K. Kaufmann

Jan 2020
Journal

Special Issue: Econometric Models of Climate Change
in Journal of Econometrics
Eric Hillebrand , Felix Pretis , Tommaso Proietti

Jan 2020
Journal

Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions
in Journal of Econometrics
Felix Pretis

Oct 2019
Journal

Variation in responsiveness to warranted behaviour change among NHS clinicians: novel implementation of change detection methods in longitudinal prescribing data
in British Medical Journal
Felix Pretis , Alex J Walker , Anna Powell-Smith

Aug 2018
Journal

Automated General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling of the mean of variance of regressions, and indicator saturation methods for outliers and structural breaks
in Journal of Statistical Software
Felix Pretis , James Reade , Genaro Sucarrat

Apr 2018
Journal

Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming
in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A
Felix Pretis , Kevin Tang , Moritz Schwarz , Karsten Haustein , Myles R. Allen

Sept 2017
Journal

Carbon dioxide emission-intensity in climate projections: Comparing the observational record to socio-economic scenarios
in Energy
Felix Pretis , Max Roser

Aug 2017
Journal

A new archive of large volcanic events over the past millennium derived from reconstructed summer temperatures
in Environmental Research Letters
Felix Pretis , Lea Schneider , J. E. Smerdon , C. Hartl-Meier , J. Esper

Jan 2017
Journal

Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism
in PNAS
Robert K. Kaufmann , Michael L. Mann , Sucharita Gopal , Jackie A. Liederman , Peter D. Howe , Felix Pretis , Xiaojing Tang , Michelle Gilmore

Nov 2016
Paper

All change! The implications of non-stationarity for empirical modelling, forecasting and policy
David Hendry , Felix Pretis

Jun 2016

gets: General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling and Indicator Saturation Methods
Felix Pretis , James J. Reade , Genaro Sucarrat

May 2016
Paper

gets: General-to-specific (GETS) modelling and indicator saturation methods
Felix Pretis , James J. Reade , Genaro Sucarrat

Apr 2016

Testing for time-varying predictive accuracy using bias-corrected indicator saturation
Felix Pretis

Apr 2016

Out-of-Sample Paleo-Climate Simulations: Testing Hypothesis About the Mid-Brunhes Event, the Stage 11 Paradox, and Orbital Variations
Felix Pretis , Robert Kaufmann

Apr 2016

Quantifying the Uncertainty around Break Dates in Models using Indicator Saturation
David Hendry , Felix Pretis

Apr 2016
Journal

Detecting volcanic eruptions in temperature reconstructions by designed break-indicator saturation
in Journal of Economic Surveys
David Hendry , Felix Pretis , Lea Schneider , Jason Smerdon

Apr 2016
Working Paper

General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling and Indicator Saturation with the R Package gets (version 0.7)
Felix Pretis , James Reade , Genaro Sucarrat

Dec 2015

World CO2 Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios
Felix Pretis , Max Roser

Jun 2015
Working Paper

Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs
Felix Pretis

Apr 2015
Journal

Detecting Location Shifts During Model Selection by Step-indicator Saturation
in Econometrics
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , Felix Pretis

Apr 2015
Journal

Testing competing models of the Temperature Hiatus: Assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection
in Climate Change
Felix Pretis , Michael L. Mann , Robert K. Kaufmann

Publications