Nov 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-24 - Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis
Karolina Bassa , Rama Cont

Nov 2025
Article

Expert Comment: Is the dollar’s dominance crumbling?
Dennis Snower

Oct 2025
Book

The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)
Maximilian Kasy

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-23 - The Effects of Minimum Wage Increases on Poverty and Food Hardship
Lukas Lehner , Hannah Massenbauer , Zachary Parolin , Rafael Pintro Schmitt

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-22 - The Earned Income Tax Credit and the Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty
Zachary Parolin , Benjamin Glasner , Ronald Mincy , Christopher Wimer

Oct 2025
Report

The Roadmap
Neil Ward , Elta Smith , Ali Morpeth , Tim Benton , Veronica Moran , Jez Fredenburgh , Juan Pablo Cordero , Ben Dare , Angelina Sanderson Bellamy , Sarah Bridle , Stefan Kepinski , Tom Youngman , Heiko Balzter , Georgie Barber , Judith Batchelar , Lynn Frewer , Charles Godfray , Saher Hasnain , Ifeyinwa Kanu , Amy Jackson , Tom MacMillan , Anna Macready , Terry Marsden , Rounaq Nayak , Zainab Oyetunde-Usman , Simon Pearson , Pete Smith , Derek Stewart , Christine Watson , Molly Watson , Simon Willcock , Alex Adekanmbi , Ashraf Alkhtib , James Aufenaste , Heloise Balme , Corin Bell , Ian Bisley , Kirsty Blair , Rose Boyko , Lídia Cabral , Martin Chadwick , James Cottee , Ryan Creeth , Dan Crossley , Joe Duncan-Duggal , Matilda Dunn , Beth Dyson , Shona Eagles , Dylan Edgar , Ferne Edwards , Pete Falloon , Isabel Fletcher , Mackenzie Fong , Rhea Harrison , Jennifer Haslam , Jennifer Hawkes , Pan He , Rye Hickman , Peter Hoebe , Simon Holland , Steph Horn , Ben Horne , Grace Inegbedion , Tilly Jarvis , Alexander Jones , Kate Jones , Daniel Kindred , Jamie Kirby-Smith , Helena Knight , Bechie Lait , Laura Lane , Zoe Lipkins , Adam Lockyear , Yang Lu , Kirsty McInnes , Daniel McKay Fletcher , Michael Marston , Damian Maye , Alan Measures , Leo Mercer , Javier Mesa Medina , Jemma Morgan , Aimee Morse , Hilda Mulrooney , Cynthia Naydani , Indika Pahalagedara , Martin Phillips , Alexandra Pounds , Manik Puranik , Shashika Rathnayaka , Emma Roe , Henry Russell , Steve Russell , Philippa Simmonds , Ayela Spiro , Stacia Stetkiewicz , Séamas Stout , Laura Stratford , Arthy Surendran , Roger Sykes , Ronja Teschner , Caroline Verfuerth , Sarah Wakefield , David Watters , Louise Whatford , Sarah Wilding , Emily Wilson , Huw Woodward , Amirali Zolghadri , Monika Zurek

Oct 2025
Paper

A faster algorithm for efficient longest common substring calculation for non-parametric entropy estimation in sequential data
Bridget Smart , Max Ward , Matthew Roughan

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

Oct 2025
Journal

Concise network models of memory dynamics reveal explainable patterns in path data
in Science Advances
Rohit Sahasrabuddhe , Renaud Lambiotte , Martin Rosvall

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-21 - Labor Markets as Human Ecosystems: The Insider-Outsider Theory Reconsidered
Dennis J. Snower

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-20 - Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics
Eric Beinhocker , Jenna Bednar

Oct 2025
Journal

Could the Bank of England have avoided mis-forecasting UK inflation during 2021–24?
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Oct 2025
Blog

Americans are adapting to a warmer world — trading winter heat for summer cooling
François Cohen , Matthieu Glachant , Magnus Söderberg

Oct 2025
Journal

The Role of Artificial Intelligence for Early Warning Systems: Status, Applicability, Guardrails and Ways Forward
in iScience
Timothy Tiggeloven , Samira Pfeiffer , Alessia Matanó , Marc van den Homberg , Lisa Thalheimer , Markus Reichstein , Silvia Torresan

Oct 2025
Working Paper

Linking Path-Dependent and Stochastic Volatility Models
Samuel N. Cohen , Cephas Svosve

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-19 - Managing the impact of energy transition path uncertainty on European infrastructure investments
David Nelson , Ada Kinczyk , Carlos Perez Villanueva

Oct 2025
Report

The impact of uncertainty surrounding energy transition paths: tools for Ministries of Finance and investors to manage the financial risk of infrastructure investments
David Nelson

Oct 2025
Article

How America Outcompeted Japan
Carl Benedikt Frey

Sept 2025
Paper

Sandbagging in a Simple Survival Bandit Problem
Joel Dyer , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Five Frictions: Key Labor Market Barriers to Unlocking Job Growth in the Green Transition
Camilla Knudsen , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Joris Bucker , Penny Mealy

Sept 2025
Book

How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations
Carl Benedikt Frey

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan Kemp , José Lobo

Sept 2025
Paper

Emergent Risk Awareness in Rational Agents under Resource Constraints
Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Joel Dyer , Wei-Chen Lee , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Journal

Advancing Human Displacement Modeling: A Case Study of the 2022 Summer Floods in Pakistan
in Earth's Future
Pui Man Kam , Tabea Cache , Bianca Biess , Steffen Lohrey , Sabrina Di Vincenzo , Jamie W. McCaughey , Radley M. Horton , Lisa Thalheimer

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Marco Pangallo

Sept 2025
Blog

Ripples presaging a financial tsunami
Dennis Snower

Sept 2025
Journal

Cultivating trust? The role of European Union investments in bridging rural-urban divides
in Electoral Studies
Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu , Leo Azzollini , Anne-Marie Jeannet

Sept 2025
Journal

Mine photovoltaic systems for a sustainable energy transition
in Joule
Yang Zhang , Yangsiyu Lu

Sept 2025
Journal

Health losses attributed to anthropogenic climate change
in Nature Climate Change
Colin J. Carlson , Dann Mitchell , Rory Gibb , Rupert Stuart-Smith , Tamma Carleton , Torre E. Lavelle , Catherine A. Lippi , Megan Lukas-Sithole , Michelle A. North , Sadie J. Ryan , Dorcas Stella Shumba , Matthew Chersich , Mark New , Christopher H. Trisos

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Beyond pay: AI skills reward more job benefits
Alejandra Mira , Matthew Bone , Fabian Stephany

Sept 2025
Journal

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova , Joos Akkerman , Francesco Bosello , Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis , Ignasi Cortés Arbués , Amineh Ghorbani , Olga Ivanova , Nina Knittel , Jan Kwakkel , Francesco Lamperti , Nicholas R. Magliocca , Giacomo Marangoni , Stefan Nabernegg , Anton Pichler , Adrian Poujon , Karolina Safarzynska , Alessandro Taberna , Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld , Liz Verbeek , Taoyuan Wei

Sept 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-18-B - Q&A for: Britain needs a wealth tax on property
John Muellbauer

Publications