Publications

Filtered Results: 36 found

Aug 2017
Journal 		A new archive of large volcanic events over the past millennium derived from reconstructed summer temperatures
in Environmental Research Letters
Felix Pretis, Lea Schneider, J. E. Smerdon, C. Hartl-Meier, J. Esper
Jan 2017
Journal 		Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism
in PNAS
Robert K. Kaufmann, Michael L. Mann, Sucharita Gopal, Jackie A. Liederman, Peter D. Howe, Felix Pretis, Xiaojing Tang, Michelle Gilmore
Nov 2016
Paper 		All change! The implications of non-stationarity for empirical modelling, forecasting and policy
David Hendry, Felix Pretis
Jun 2016
 gets: General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling and Indicator Saturation Methods
Felix Pretis, James J. Reade, Genaro Sucarrat
May 2016
Paper 		gets: General-to-specific (GETS) modelling and indicator saturation methods
Felix Pretis, James J. Reade, Genaro Sucarrat
Apr 2016
 Out-of-Sample Paleo-Climate Simulations: Testing Hypothesis About the Mid-Brunhes Event, the Stage 11 Paradox, and Orbital Variations
Felix Pretis, Robert Kaufmann
Apr 2016
 Testing for time-varying predictive accuracy using bias-corrected indicator saturation
Felix Pretis
Apr 2016
 Quantifying the Uncertainty around Break Dates in Models using Indicator Saturation
David Hendry, Felix Pretis
Apr 2016
Journal 		Detecting volcanic eruptions in temperature reconstructions by designed break-indicator saturation
in Journal of Economic Surveys
David Hendry, Felix Pretis, Lea Schneider, Jason Smerdon
Apr 2016
Working Paper 		General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling and Indicator Saturation with the R Package gets (version 0.7)
Felix Pretis, James Reade, Genaro Sucarrat
Dec 2015
 World CO2 Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios
Felix Pretis, Max Roser
Jun 2015
Working Paper 		Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs
Felix Pretis
Apr 2015
Journal 		Detecting Location Shifts During Model Selection by Step-indicator Saturation
in Econometrics
David Hendry, Jennifer Castle, Jurgen A Doornik, Felix Pretis
Apr 2015
Journal 		Testing competing models of the Temperature Hiatus: Assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection
in Climate Change
Felix Pretis, Michael L. Mann, Robert K. Kaufmann
Jan 2015
Working Paper 		World CO2 Emission Intensity is Rising Faster than IPCC Scenarios Envisaged
Felix Pretis, Max Roser
Nov 2013
Journal 		Climate science: Breaks in trends
Felix Pretis, Myles Allen