Mar 2025
Podcast

The Life Scientific: Doyne Farmer on making sense of chaos for a better world
J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Journal

At Which Level Does Unemployment Affect Political Trust? A Multilevel Analysis Across Europe
in Social Indicators Research
Leo Azzollini , Ebru Sanlitürk , Vytenis Deimantas , Selin Köksal

Feb 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-05 - Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2025
Working Paper

New models for South African consumption, house prices, and mortgage and non-mortgage debt: Insights for financial stability and monetary transmission
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Feb 2025
Paper

Robust Policy Design in Agent-Based Simulators using Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Akash Agrawal , Joel Dyer , Aldo Glielmo , Michael Wooldridge

Feb 2025
Journal

Healthcare provision and attitudes towards redistribution. A regional analysis across Europe
in Journal of European Public Policy
Giacomo Melli , Leo Azzollini , Franco Bonomi Bezzo

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: A Report to the Treasury and Civil Service Select Committee
David F. Hendry

Feb 2025
Journal

An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Robert W. Rich , Joseph Tracy

Jan 2025
Working Paper

How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?
Andrew Martinez

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-04 - Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates
Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Jan 2025
Article

How the Bank of England could have avoided mis-forecasting UK inflation during 2021–24
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen Doornik , David F. Hendry

Nov 2024
Journal

Synchronization of endogenous business cycles
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Marco Pangallo

Nov 2024
Paper

Housing and Macroprudential Policy
John Muellbauer

Nov 2024
Report

External Monetary Policy Review of the Czech National Bank: A Review of the Analytical Framework used for Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Monetary Policy Making
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

Oct 2024
Video

David Hendry: Forecasting UK Inflation during 2021-24
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Jurgen Doornik

Sept 2024
INET Working Paper

No. 2024-06 - Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model
Samuel Wiese , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Joel Dyer , Jose Moran , Marco Pangallo , François Lafond , John Muellbauer , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer

Sept 2024
Report

The effects of BBMs
John Muellbauer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa

Sept 2024
Chapter

A Review of the Bernanke Report on Economic Forecasting at the Bank of England
David F. Hendry , John Muellbauer

Jul 2024
INET Working Paper

No. 2024-04 - National accounting from the bottom up using large-scale financial transactions data: An application to input-output tables
Kerstin Hötte , Andreina Naddeo

Jun 2024
Chapter

Sequencing Decarbonization Policies to Manage Their Macroeconomic Impacts
Steven Fries

Jun 2024
Journal

Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements

Jun 2024
Conference Paper

Does nature finance pose macroeconomic risks? Analysis using a stock-flow consistent model with land
Tom Youngman

Jun 2024
Journal

Global economic order and global economic governance
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Daniel Susskind , David Vines

Jun 2024
Paper

Revisiting Granular Models of Firm Growth
Jose Moran , Angelo Secchi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

May 2024
Journal

Stability between cryptocurrency prices and the term structure
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Jennifer L. Castle , Takamitsu Kurita

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2024
Book

Making Sense of Chaos: A Better Economics for a Better World
J. Doyne Farmer

Apr 2024
Blog

Svensson on house price overvaluation
Charles Goodhart , John Muellbauer

Mar 2024
Working Paper

War in the Ukraine and global inflationary pressures: learning about how to study fiscal and monetary cooperation in the face of supply side shocks
Christopher Adam , Sheung Kan (Paul) Luk , David Vines

Feb 2024
Blog

Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it
John Muellbauer

Jan 2024
Journal

Financial market linkages and the sovereign debt crisis
in Journal of International Money and Finance
Susana Campos-Martins , Cristina Amado

Publications