Mar 2022
Journal

Deciphering Impacts and Human Responses to a Changing Climate in East Africa
in Frontiers in Climate
Lisa Thalheimer , Friederike E. L. Otto , Simon Abele

Mar 2022
Journal

Modelling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic time-series data
in Social Science Quarterly
Jurgen A Doornik , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Forecasting: theory and practice
in International Journal of Forecasting
Fotios Petropoulos , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Mar 2022
Journal

Forecasting facing economic shifts, climate change and evolving pandemics
in Econometrics
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Sensitive intervention points in China's coal phaseout
in Energy Policy
Ryan Rafaty , Bas Heerma van Voss

Dec 2021
INET Working Paper

No. 2021-24 - Excess mortality versus COVID-19 death rates: a spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities and political allegiance across US states
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Nov 2021
Working Paper

The COVID-19 Crisis and the Road to Recovery : Green or Brown?
Miria Pigato , Ryan Rafaty , Jonas Kai Kurle

Nov 2021
Journal

Global Trends in Downward Surface Solar Radiation from Spatial Interpolated Ground Observations during 1961–2019
in Journal of Climate
Menghan Yuan , Thomas Leirvik , Martin Wild

Oct 2021
Working Paper

Heterogeneity in the Effects of Climate Change on Soybean Yields
Menghan Yuan

Sept 2021
Journal

What Drives House Price Cycles? International Experience and Policy Issues
in Journal of Economic Literature
John Duca , John Muellbauer , Anthony Murphy

Sept 2021
Blog

What drives house prices: Lessons from the literature
John Duca , John Muellbauer , Anthony Murphy

Jul 2021
Journal

Analyzing international organizations: How the concepts we use affect the answers we get
in The Review of International Organizations
Charles Roger , Sam Rowan

Apr 2021
Journal

Forecasting principles from experience with forecasting competitions
in Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Apr 2021
INET Working Paper

No. 2021-14 - Cost/benefit analysis of Covid-19 pandemic suppression using an SEIR model
Jan Maciejowski , Robert Rowthorn , Scott Sheffield , David Vines , Annie Williamson

Mar 2021
Journal

Modelling Non-Linear Age-Period-Cohort Effects and Covariates, With an Application to English Obesity 2001–2014
in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A: Statistics in Society
Zoë Fannon , Christiaan Monden , Bent Nielsen

Mar 2021
Journal

A Machine Learning Technique for Spatial Interpolation of Solar Radiation Observations
in Earth and Space Science
Thomas Leirvik , Menghan Yuan

Mar 2021
Report

A strategy for achieving net zero emissions by 2050: Written evidence by Dr Jennifer L. Castle and Prof Sir David F. Hendry to the House of Commons Public Accounts Committee
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Feb 2021
Journal

Exogeneity in climate econometrics
in Energy Economics
Felix Pretis

Feb 2021
Journal

Understanding glacial cycles: A multivariate disequilibrium approach
in Quaternary Science Reviews
Felix Pretis , Robert K. Kaufmann

Jan 2021
Journal

Does Institutional Proliferation Undermine Cooperation? Theory and Evidence from Climate Change
in International Studies Quarterly
Sam S. Rowan

Dec 2020
Journal

Global mean thermosteric sea level projections by 2100 in CMIP6 climate models
in Environmental Research Letters
Svetlana Jevrejeva , Hindumathi Palanisamy , Luke Jackson

Oct 2020
Journal

Statistical Short-term Forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic
in Journal of Clinical Immunology & Immunotherapy
Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

Oct 2020
Journal

How urbanization enhanced exposure to climate risks in the Pacific: A case study in the Republic of Palau
in Environmental Research Letters
David Mason , Akiko Iida , Satoshi Watanabe , Makoto Yokohari , Luke Jackson

Sept 2020
Blog

The US excess mortality rate from COVID-19 is substantially worse than Europe’s
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Sept 2020
Journal

Modelling non-stationary ‘Big Data’
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Jurgen A Doornik

Sept 2020
Journal

Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jurgen A Doornik , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Aug 2020
Journal

The Challenge of Using Epidemiological Case Count Data: The Example of Confirmed COVID-19 Cases and the Weather
in Environmental and Resource Economics
François Cohen , Moritz Schwarz , Yangsiyu Lu , Anant Jani , Sihan Li

Aug 2020
INET Working Paper

No. 2020-18 - Transatlantic excess mortality comparisons in the pandemic
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Aug 2020
Journal

Climate Econometrics: An Overview
in Foundations and Trends in Econometrics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Aug 2020
Report

Forecast-Based Financing and Disaster Displacement: Acting Early to Reduce Humanitarian Impacts of Displacement
Lisa Thalheimer , Eddie Wasswa Jjemba , Ezekiel Simperingham

Aug 2020
Journal

Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario
in Ocean & Coastal Management
Luis M. Abadie , Elisa Sainz de Murietaa , Svetlana Jevrejeva , Ibon Galarraga , Luke Jackson

Jul 2020
Presentation

Excess mortality statistics in the pandemic and country comparisons - presentation
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Publications