44 results: page 1 of 2
Jul 2025
Inconsistent survey histograms and point forecasts revisited
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements
Feb 2025
An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Robert W. Rich , Joseph Tracy
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Robert W. Rich , Joseph Tracy
Jun 2024
Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements
Dec 2023
Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
Mar 2023
Modeling Price and Variance Jump Clustering Using the Marked Hawkes Process
in Journal of Financial Econometrics
Jian Chen , Michael P. Clements , Andrew Urquhart
in Journal of Financial Econometrics
Jian Chen , Michael P. Clements , Andrew Urquhart
Feb 2023
How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries
in International Journal of Forecasting
Oguzhan Cepni , Michael P. Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Oguzhan Cepni , Michael P. Clements
Nov 2022
Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends
in International Journal of Forecasting
Evripidis Bantis , Michael P. Clements , Andrew Urquhart
in International Journal of Forecasting
Evripidis Bantis , Michael P. Clements , Andrew Urquhart
Nov 2022
Density forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models under macroeconomic data uncertainty
in Journal of Applied Econometrics
Michael P. Clements , Ana Beatriz Galvão
in Journal of Applied Econometrics
Michael P. Clements , Ana Beatriz Galvão
Nov 2021
Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual-Level Survey Data
in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Michael P. Clements
in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Michael P. Clements
Sept 2021
Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP
in Journal of Applied Econometrics
Michael P. Clements
in Journal of Applied Econometrics
Michael P. Clements
Jan 2021
Measuring the effects of expectations shocks
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Ana Beatriz Galvão
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Ana Beatriz Galvão
Sept 2020
Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
May 2020
Are Some Forecasters’ Probability Assessments of Macro Variables Better Than Those of Others?
in Econometrics
Michael P. Clements
in Econometrics
Michael P. Clements
Jan 2020
Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports
in International Journal of Forecasting
James Reade , Michael Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
James Reade , Michael Clements
Jul 2019
Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements
May 2019
Apr 2019
Apr 2018
Mar 2018
Independent directors, information cost and foreign ownership in Chinese companies
Michael P. Clements , Yijun Meng , Carol Padgett
Michael P. Clements , Yijun Meng , Carol Padgett
Aug 2017
Predicting Early Data Revisions to US GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets
Michael Clements , Ana Galvão
Michael Clements , Ana Galvão
Apr 2017
Data revisions and real-time probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic variables
Michael Clements , A. B. Galvõa
Michael Clements , A. B. Galvõa
Apr 2017
Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
Apr 2017
Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements , Ana Galvão
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements , Ana Galvão
Feb 2017
Sir Clive W.J. Granger's contributions to forecasting
in European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics
Michael Clements
in European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics
Michael Clements
Aug 2016
An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks
in Journal of Business Cycle Research
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Michael Clements
in Journal of Business Cycle Research
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Michael Clements
Aug 2016
Long-run restrictions and survey forecasts of output, consumption and investment
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
Apr 2016
Assessing macro uncertainty in real-time when data are subject to revision
in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Michael Clements
in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Michael Clements
Nov 2015
Aug 2015
Do US macroeconomic forecasters exaggerate their differences?
in Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
in Journal of Forecasting
Michael Clements
Jul 2015
Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements , Andrea Carriero , Ana B. Galvao
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements , Andrea Carriero , Ana B. Galvao
Jun 2015
Mar 2015
Are professional macroeconomic forecasters able to do better than forecasting trends?
in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Michael P. Clements
in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Michael P. Clements