Feb 2025
Working Paper

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: A Report to the Treasury and Civil Service Select Committee
David F. Hendry

Jan 2025
Article

Net zero: Strategy and tactics
Jennifer L. Castle , Ebba Mark , David F. Hendry , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Jan 2025
Article

How the Bank of England could have avoided mis-forecasting UK inflation during 2021–24
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen Doornik , David F. Hendry

Nov 2024
Chapter

Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , J. Isaac Miller

Sept 2024
Chapter

A Review of the Bernanke Report on Economic Forecasting at the Bank of England
David F. Hendry , John Muellbauer

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2024
Journal

Five sensitive intervention points to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, illustrated by the UK
in Renewable Energy
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Nov 2023
Journal

A Brief History of General-to-specific Modelling
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
David F. Hendry

Oct 2023
Journal

Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Aug 2023
Journal

The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity with implications for price inflation
in Energy Economics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Jun 2023
Article

Why can economic forecasts go wrong?
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition
in Journal of Econometrics
Susana Campos-Martins , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Analysing differences between scenarios
in International Journal of Forecasting
David F. Hendry , Felix Pretis

Mar 2022
Journal

Econometrics for modelling climate change
in Oxford Research Encyclopedias
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Smooth robust multi-horizon forecasts
in Advances in Econometrics
Andrew B. Martinez , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Chapter

Oxford's contributions to econometrics
David F. Hendry , Bent Nielsen

Mar 2022
Journal

The value of robust statistical forecasts in the COVID-19 pandemic
in National Institute Economic Review
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Robust discovery of regression models
in Econometrics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Modelling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic time-series data
in Social Science Quarterly
Jurgen A Doornik , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2022
Journal

Forecasting: theory and practice
in International Journal of Forecasting
Fotios Petropoulos , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Mar 2022
Journal

Forecasting facing economic shifts, climate change and evolving pandemics
in Econometrics
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Apr 2021
Journal

Forecasting principles from experience with forecasting competitions
in Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Mar 2021
Report

A strategy for achieving net zero emissions by 2050: Written evidence by Dr Jennifer L. Castle and Prof Sir David F. Hendry to the House of Commons Public Accounts Committee
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Oct 2020
Journal

Statistical Short-term Forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic
in Journal of Clinical Immunology & Immunotherapy
Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

Sept 2020
Journal

Modelling non-stationary ‘Big Data’
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Jurgen A Doornik

Sept 2020
Journal

Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jurgen A Doornik , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Aug 2020
Journal

Climate Econometrics: An Overview
in Foundations and Trends in Econometrics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2020
Journal

Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Vox EU)
in Vox EU
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Jurgen A Doornik

Jan 2020
Journal

The paradox of stagnant real wages yet rising ‘living standards’ in the UK
in Vox EU
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Jan 2020
Journal

A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling
in Journal of Banking, Finance and Sustainable Development
David F. Hendry , David Hendry

Publications