Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Feb 2025
Journal

Skills or degree? The rise of skill-based hiring for AI and green jobs
in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Matthew Bone , Eugenia González Ehlinger , Fabian Stephany

Feb 2025
Journal

Human-induced climate change increased 2021–2022 drought severity in horn of Africa
in Weather and Climate Extremes
Joyce Kimutai , Clair Barnes , Mariam Zachariah , Sjoukje Y. Philip , Sarah F. Kew , Izidine Pinto , Piotr Wolski , Gerbrand Koren , Gabriel Vecchi , Wenchang Yang , Sihan Li , Maja Vahlberg , Roop Singh , Dorothy Heinrich , Julie Arrighi , Carolina Pereira Marghidan , Lisa Thalheimer , Cheikh Kane , Emmanuel Raju , Friederike E.L. Otto

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: A Report to the Treasury and Civil Service Select Committee
David F. Hendry

Jan 2025
Article

Net zero: Strategy and tactics
Jennifer L. Castle , Ebba Mark , David F. Hendry , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Jan 2025
Working Paper

How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?
Andrew Martinez

Jan 2025
Article

How the Bank of England could have avoided mis-forecasting UK inflation during 2021–24
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen Doornik , David F. Hendry

Nov 2024
Chapter

Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , J. Isaac Miller

Oct 2024
Video

David Hendry: Forecasting UK Inflation during 2021-24
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Jurgen Doornik

Sept 2024
Video

Special panel discussion: Climate Policies that achieved major emissions reductions
Ebba Mark , Moritz Schwarz , Anupama Sen , Chris Stark

Sept 2024
Journal

Spatial–temporal dynamics of structural unemployment in declining coal mining regions and potentialities of the ‘just transition’
in Energy Policy
Ebba Mark , Ryan Rafaty , Moritz Schwarz

Sept 2024
Chapter

A Review of the Bernanke Report on Economic Forecasting at the Bank of England
David F. Hendry , John Muellbauer

Aug 2024
Journal

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
in Science
Annika Stechemesser , Nicolas Koch , Ebba Mark , Elina Dilger , Patrick Klösel , Laura Menicacci , Daniel Nachtigall , Felix Pretis , Nolan Ritter , Moritz Schwarz , Helena Vossen , Anna Wenzel

May 2024
Journal

Stability between cryptocurrency prices and the term structure
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Jennifer L. Castle , Takamitsu Kurita

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2024
Journal

Five sensitive intervention points to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, illustrated by the UK
in Renewable Energy
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2024
Journal

Effective climate clubs require ambition, leverage and insulation: Theorizing issue linkage in climate change and trade
in The Review of International Organizations
Sam S. Rowan

Feb 2024
Journal

Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia
in Climate Risk Management
Lisa Thalheimer , Franziska Gaupp , Christian Webersik

Feb 2024
Journal

Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change
in Journal of Econometrics
Xiyu Jiao , Felix Pretis , Moritz Schwarz

Jan 2024
Journal

The role of anticipatory humanitarian action to reduce disaster displacement
in Environmental Research Letters
Lisa Thalheimer , Ezekiel Simperingham , Eddie Wasswa Jjemba

Jan 2024
Journal

Financial market linkages and the sovereign debt crisis
in Journal of International Money and Finance
Susana Campos-Martins , Cristina Amado

Nov 2023
Journal

A Brief History of General-to-specific Modelling
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
David F. Hendry

Nov 2023
Journal

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect
in Climatic Change
Robert F. Kaufmann , Felix Pretis

Nov 2023
Journal

Does protest influence political speech? Evidence from UK climate protest, 2017-2019
in British Journal of Political Science
Christopher Barrie , Thomas G. Fleming , Sam S. Rowan

Oct 2023
Journal

Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Aug 2023
Journal

The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity with implications for price inflation
in Energy Economics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Jul 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-12 - Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it
John Muellbauer

Jun 2023
Article

Why can economic forecasts go wrong?
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition
in Journal of Econometrics
Susana Campos-Martins , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023

Normality testing after outlier removal
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Bent Nielsen

Publications