Abstract:
After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) over the last decade developing time-series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.
Citation:
Lafond, F. (2026), 'Forecasting Technological Progress'. In 'The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV', pp. 336–398, SFI Press, https://doi.org/10.37911/9781947864696.26