Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-10 - Forecasting technological progress
François Lafond

Sept 2024
INET Working Paper

No. 2024-06 - Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model
Samuel Wiese , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Joel Dyer , Jose Moran , Marco Pangallo , François Lafond , John Muellbauer , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer

Jun 2024
Journal

Measuring productivity dispersion: a parametric approach using the Lévy alpha-stable distribution
in Industrial and Corporate Change
Jangho Yang , Torsten Heinrich , Julian Winkler , François Lafond , Pantelis Koutroumpis , J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2024
Journal

Reconstructing supply networks
in Journal of Physics: Complexity
Luca Mungo , Alexandra Brintrup , Diego Garlaschelli , François Lafond

Mar 2024
Journal

Why Is Productivity Slowing Down?
in Journal of Economic Literature
Ian Goldin , Pantelis Koutroumpis , François Lafond , Julian Winkler

Nov 2023
Journal

The unequal effects of the health–economy trade-off during the COVID-19 pandemic
in Nature Human Behaviour
Marco Pangallo , Alberto Aleta , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Anton Pichler , David Martin-Corral , Matteo Chinazzi , François Lafond , Marco Ajelli , Esteban Moro , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani , J. Doyne Farmer

Oct 2023
Journal

Building an alliance to map global supply networks
in Science
Anton Pichler , Christian Diem , Alexandra Brintrup , François Lafond , Glenn Magerman , Gert Buiten , Thomas Choi , Vasco M. Carvalho , J. Doyne Farmer , Stefan Thurner

Oct 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-19 - Reconstructing supply networks
Luca Mungo , Alexandra Brintrup , Diego Garlaschelli , François Lafond

May 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-08 - Firm-level production networks: what do we (really) know?
Andrea Bacilieri , András Borsos , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez , François Lafond

Feb 2023
Journal

Reconstructing production networks using machine learning
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Luca Mungo , François Lafond , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2022-02 - Reconstructing production networks using machine learning
Luca Mungo , François Lafond , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez , J. Doyne Farmer

Dec 2022
Paper

The unequal effects of the health-economy tradeoff during the COVID-19 pandemic
Marco Pangallo , Alberto Aleta , R. Maria Del Rio Chanona , Anton Pichler , David Martin-Corral , Matteo Chinazzi , François Lafond , Marco Ajelli , Esteban Moro , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani , J. Doyne Farmer

Sept 2022
Journal

Forecasting the propagation of pandemic shocks with a dynamic input-output model
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Jul 2022
Journal

Can Stimulating Demand Drive Costs Down? World War II as a Natural Experiment
in The Journal of Economic History
François Lafond , Diana Greenwald , J. Doyne Farmer

May 2022
INET Working Paper

No. 2022-08 - Why is productivity slowing down?
Ian Goldin , Pantelis Koutroumpis , François Lafond , Julian Winkler

Apr 2022
INET Working Paper

No. 2019-14 - Measuring productivity dispersion: a parametric approach using the Lévy alpha-stable distribution
Jangho Yang , Torsten Heinrich , Julian Winkler , François Lafond , Pantelis Koutroumpis , J. Doyne Farmer

May 2021
INET Working Paper

No. 2021-12 - Why is productivity slowing down?
Ian Goldin , Pantelis Koutroumpis , François Lafond , Julian Winkler

Feb 2021
INET Working Paper

No. 2021-18 - In and out of lockdown: Propagation of supply and demand shocks in a dynamic input-output model
Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2021
Journal

The rise of science in low-carbon energy technologies
in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Kerstin Hötte , Anton Pichler , François Lafond

Jan 2021
Journal

Occupational mobility and automation: a data-driven network model
in Journal of the Royal Society Interface
R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Penny Mealy , Mariano Beguerisse-Diaz , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Sept 2020
Journal

Supply and demand shocks in the COVID-19 pandemic: an industry and occupation perspective
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
R. Maria Del Rio Chanona , Penny Mealy , Anton Pichler , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Jun 2020
Blog

Production networks and epidemic spreading: Re-opening the UK economy
Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Jun 2020
INET Working Paper

No. 2020-02 - Can stimulating demand drive costs down? World War II as a natural experiment
François Lafond , Diana Greenwald , J. Doyne Farmer

May 2020
INET Working Paper

No. 2020-12 - Production networks and epidemic spreading: How to restart the UK economy?
Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Apr 2020
Journal

Supply and demand shocks in the COVID-19 pandemic: An industry and occupation perspective
in COVID Economics, CEPR Press
Anton Pichler , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Penny Mealy

Mar 2020
INET Working Paper

No.2020-04 - Technological interdependencies predict innovation dynamics
Anton Pichler , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

Apr 2019
Journal

Wright meets Markowitz: How standard portfolio theory changes when assets are technologies following experience curves
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo , François Lafond , Rupert Way , Valentyn Panchenko

Jan 2019
Journal

Long-run dynamics of the U.S. patent classification system
in Journal of Evolutionary Economics
François Lafond , Daniel Kim

Mar 2018
Journal

How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts
in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
J. Doyne Farmer , François Lafond , Aimee Gotway Bailey , Jan David Bakker , Dylan Rebois , Rubina Zadourian , Patrick McSharry

Feb 2018
Journal

Early identification of important patents through network centrality
in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
François Lafond , Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Matúš Medo

Apr 2016
Journal

How Predictable is Technological Progress?
in Research Policy
J. Doyne Farmer , François Lafond

Mar 2015
Journal

Self-organization of Knowledge Economies
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
François Lafond

Publications