Mar 2026
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2026-09 - Interpreting diffusion curves in sociotechnical transitions: how to use S-curves without fooling yourself
Brendon Tankwa

Mar 2026
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2025-12 - Will national renewable costs continue declining?
Lennart Baumgärtner , J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2026
Blog

Cutting Edge Climate Macroeconomics: Reflections from Pisa
Tom Youngman

Feb 2026
Journal

From just transition pledges to policy practice: A participatory case study applying the Energy Justice Framework in early-stage transition planning in Vilnius, Lithuania
in Energy Research & Social Science
Gustė Gurčinaitė , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Feb 2026
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2026-05 - Resilient-to-Fragile Transition and Excess Volatility in Supply Chain Networks
David Martin , José Morán , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Feb 2026
Chapter

Forecasting technological progress
François Lafond

Feb 2026
Chapter

Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics
Eric Beinhocker , Jenna Bednar

Feb 2026
Chapter

Compositional Growth Models
José Morán , Massimo Riccaboni

Feb 2026
Chapter

A Brief History of the Emergence of Complexity Economics
Eric Beinhocker , J. Doyne Farmer , Jenna Bednar , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

Feb 2026
Chapter

Equations vs. Maps: Complexity, Equilibrium, Disequilibrium
Marco Pangallo

Feb 2026
Chapter

Data-Driven Economic Agent-Based Models
Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Feb 2026
Chapter

Agent-Based Modeling at Central Banks: Recent Developments and New Challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2026
Chapter

Beyond Efficiency: Labor-Market Resilience in an Age of AI and Net Zero
R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Morgan R. Frank , Penny Mealy , Esteban Moro , Ljubica Nedelkoska

Feb 2026
Chapter

Back to the Future: Agent-Based Modeling and Dynamic Microsimulation
Matteo Richiardi , Justin van de Ven

Feb 2026
Chapter

Introduction - The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV
Penny Mealy , Jenna Bednar , Eric Beinhocker , R Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

Feb 2026
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2025-15 - Do common shocks drive changes in aggregate emissions intensity?
Xiyu Ren , Fulvia Marotta , François Lafond

Feb 2026
Press Release

Understanding the feedback loops that drive clean energy adoption
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Feb 2026
Journal

Virtuous and vicious cycles in the energy transition
in nature reviews clean technology
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Jan Rosenow , Simon Sharpe , Michael Grubb

Jan 2026
Working Paper

Manipulation in Prediction Markets: An Agent-based Modeling Experiment
Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Jan 2026
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2026-01 - Climate policy reforms and the acceleration of solar and wind diffusion
Brendon Tankwa , Emilien Ravigné , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2026
Journal

Evaluating land–sea linkages using land cover change and coral reef monitoring data: A case study from northeastern Puerto Rico
in Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation
Pirta Palola , Sasha Hills , Simon J. Pittman , Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado , Antoine Collin , Lisa M. Wedding

Dec 2025
Policy Briefing

Complexity economics insights for the Seventh Carbon Budget
Tom Youngman , Peter Barbrook-Johnson , Emilien Ravigné , Brendon Tankwa , J. Doyne Farmer

Dec 2025
Journal

Social contagion and asset prices: Reddit's self-organised bull runs
in Quantitative Finance
Valentina Semenova , Julian Winkler

Dec 2025
Conference Paper

Learning to Manage Investment Portfolios beyond Simple Utility Functions
Maarten Scholl , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer

Nov 2025
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2025-26 - Using vision-language models to extract network data from images of system maps
Jordan White , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Nov 2025
Journal

Informed investments in clean energy technologies
in Nature Energy
Jessika E. Trancik , Erin Baker , Gregory Nemet , Magdalena M. Klemun , Rebecca J. Hanes , Kavita Surana , Douglas J. Arent , Samuel F. Baldwin , Steven A. Gabriel , Steven W. Popper , Valentina Bosetti , Max Henrion , Giacomo Marangoni , Rupert Way

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Beyond Green Jobs - Advancing Metrics and Modeling Approaches for a Changing Labor Market
Penny Mealy , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Camilla Knudsen

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Spatial Selection and the Multiscale Dynamics of Urban Change
Jordan Kemp , Laura Fürsich , Luis M A Bettencourt

Nov 2025
Working Paper

A differentiable model of supply-chain shocks
Saad Hamid , José Morán , Luca Mungo , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Sebastian Towers

Nov 2025
INET Oxford Working Paper

No. 2025-24 - Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis
Karolina Bassa , Rama Cont

Oct 2025
Paper

A faster algorithm for efficient longest common substring calculation for non-parametric entropy estimation in sequential data
Bridget Smart , Max Ward , Matthew Roughan

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

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