Oct 2025
Paper

A faster algorithm for efficient longest common substring calculation for non-parametric entropy estimation in sequential data
Bridget Smart , Max Ward , Matthew Roughan

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

Oct 2025
Journal

Concise network models of memory dynamics reveal explainable patterns in path data
in Science Advances
Rohit Sahasrabuddhe , Renaud Lambiotte , Martin Rosvall

Oct 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-20 - Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics
Eric Beinhocker , Jenna Bednar

Oct 2025
Working Paper

Linking Path-Dependent and Stochastic Volatility Models
Samuel N. Cohen , Cephas Svosve

Sept 2025
Paper

Sandbagging in a Simple Survival Bandit Problem
Joel Dyer , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan Kemp , José Lobo

Sept 2025
Paper

Emergent Risk Awareness in Rational Agents under Resource Constraints
Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Joel Dyer , Wei-Chen Lee , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Marco Pangallo

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Beyond pay: AI skills reward more job benefits
Alejandra Mira , Matthew Bone , Fabian Stephany

Sept 2025
Journal

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova , Joos Akkerman , Francesco Bosello , Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis , Ignasi Cortés Arbués , Amineh Ghorbani , Olga Ivanova , Nina Knittel , Jan Kwakkel , Francesco Lamperti , Nicholas R. Magliocca , Giacomo Marangoni , Stefan Nabernegg , Anton Pichler , Adrian Poujon , Karolina Safarzynska , Alessandro Taberna , Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld , Liz Verbeek , Taoyuan Wei

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Painting the market: generative diffusion models for financial limit order book simulation and forecasting
Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

Sept 2025
Paper

Using causal abstractions to accelerate decision-making in complex bandit problems
Joel Dyer , Nicholas Bishop , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge , Fabio Massimo Zennaro

Sept 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-17 - Who rides the renewable cost curve? Country evidence on prices, learning, and policy
Brendon Tankwa , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Sept 2025
Paper

Automatic Differentiation of Agent-Based Models
Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Nicholas Bishop , Joel Dyer , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge

Aug 2025
Journal

Polarization in the product space: Skill intensity and economic development
in World Development
Joris Bucker , Penny Mealy

Aug 2025
Working Paper

Higher-order exposures
Garbrand Wiersema , Alissa M. Kleinnijenhuis , Esti Kemp , Thom Wetzer

Aug 2025
Journal

A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
in Sustainability Science
Timothy M. Lenton , Thomas W. R. Powell , Steven R. Smith , Frank W. Geels , Floor Alkemade , Martina Ayoub , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Scarlett Benson , Fenna Blomsma , Chris A. Boulton , Joshua E. Buxton , Sara M. Constantino , Sibel Eker , Kai Greenlees , Thomas Homer‑Dixon , Kelly Levin , Michael B. Mascia , Femke Nijsse , Ilona M. Otto , Viktoria Spaiser , Simon Sharpe , Talia Smith

Aug 2025
Journal

From chambers to echo chambers: quantifying polarization with a second-neighbor approach applied to Twitter’s climate discussion
in Journal of Complex Networks
Blas Kolic , Fabián Aguirre-López , Sergio Hernández-Williams , Guillermo Garduño-Hernández

Jul 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-06 - Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making
Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Domenica Cox , Alexandra S. Penn

Jul 2025
Journal

Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Cameron Hepburn , Matthew C. Ives , Sam Loni , Penny Mealy , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , J. Doyne Farmer , Nicholas Stern , Joseph Stiglitz

Jul 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-15 - Do common shocks drive changes in aggregate emissions intensity?
Xiyu Ren , Fulvia Marotta , François Lafond

Jul 2025
Conference Paper

Ad-Hoc Human-AI Coordination Challenge
Tin Dizdarević , Ravi Hammond , Tobias Gessler , Anisoara Calinescu , Jonathan Cook , Matteo Gallici , Andrei Lupu , Jakob Nicolaus Foerster

Jul 2025
Conference Paper

LOB-Bench: Benchmarking Generative AI for Finance - an Application to Limit Order Book Data
Peer Nagy , Sascha Yves Frey , Kang Li , Bidipta Sarkar , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Stefan Zohren , Anisoara Calinescu , Jakob Nicolaus Foerster

Jul 2025
Report

The economic impacts of disorderly climate transitions: how Ministries of Finance can avoid boom and bust with sound economic analysis and effective climate policy
David Nelson

Jul 2025
Chapter

Summary of the external review of the CNB’s modelling framework
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Jun 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-14 - Firm-level production networks: what do we (really) know?
Andrea Bacilieri , András Borsos , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez , Mads Höfer , François Lafond

Jun 2025
Conference Paper

In Which Areas of Technical AI Safety Could Geopolitical Rivals Cooperate?
Benjamin S Bucknall , Saad Siddiqui , Lara Thurnherr , Conor McGurk , Ben Harack , Anka Reuel , Patricia Paskov , Casey Mahoney , Sören Mindermann , Scott Singer , Vinay Hiremath , Charbel Raphaël Segerie , Oscar Delaney , Alessandro Abate , Fazl Barez , Michael K Cohen , Philip H S Torr , Ferenc Huszár , Anisoara Calinescu , Gabriel Davis Jones , Robert Trager

Jun 2025
Journal

Better pay, clearer guidance: Investing in the working conditions of artificial intelligence data workers
in Big Data & Society
Johann Laux , Fabian Stephany , Alice Liefgreen

Jun 2025
Working Paper

An Empirical Examination of Business Climate Alliances: Effective and/or Harmful?
Matteo Gasparini , Peter Tufano

Jun 2025
Article

Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts
Cormac Lynch , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Pablo Salas Bravo , Jean-Francois Mercure , Femke Nijsse , Jin Qin , Roberto Pasqualino

Jun 2025
Journal

Drivers of Youth Outsiderness in European Labour Markets. A Comment on Marques and Salavisa (Socio-Economic Review, 2017)
in Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics
Svenja Flechtner , Torsten Heinrich

Publications