Feb 2026
INET Working Paper

No. 2026-05 - Resilient-to-Fragile Transition and Excess Volatility in Supply Chain Networks
David Martin , José Moran , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Feb 2026
Chapter

Forecasting technological progress
François Lafond

Feb 2026
Chapter

Agent-Based Modeling at Central Banks: Recent Developments and New Challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2026
Chapter

Data-Driven Economic Agent-Based Models
Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Feb 2026
Chapter

Equations vs. Maps: Complexity, Equilibrium, Disequilibrium
Marco Pangallo

Feb 2026
Chapter

A Brief History of the Emergence of Complexity Economics
Eric Beinhocker , J. Doyne Farmer , Jenna Bednar , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

Feb 2026
Chapter

Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics
Eric Beinhocker , Jenna Bednar

Feb 2026
Chapter

Introduction - The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV
Penny Mealy , Jenna Bednar , Eric Beinhocker , R Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

Feb 2026
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-15 - Do common shocks drive changes in aggregate emissions intensity?
Xiyu Ren , Fulvia Marotta , François Lafond

Feb 2026
Press Release

Understanding the feedback loops that drive clean energy adoption
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Feb 2026
Journal

Virtuous and vicious cycles in the energy transition
in nature reviews clean technology
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Jan Rosenow , Simon Sharpe , Michael Grubb

Jan 2026
Working Paper

Manipulation in Prediction Markets: An Agent-based Modeling Experiment
Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Jan 2026
INET Working Paper

No. 2026-01 - Climate policy reforms and the acceleration of solar and wind diffusion
Brendon Tankwa , Emilien Ravigné , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2026
Journal

Evaluating land–sea linkages using land cover change and coral reef monitoring data: A case study from northeastern Puerto Rico
in Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation
Pirta Palola , Sasha Hills , Simon J. Pittman , Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado , Antoine Collin , Lisa M. Wedding

Dec 2025
Policy Briefing

Complexity economics insights for the Seventh Carbon Budget
Tom Youngman , Peter Barbrook-Johnson , Emilien Ravigné , Brendon Tankwa , J. Doyne Farmer

Nov 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-26 - Using vision-language models to extract network data from images of system maps
Jordan White , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Nov 2025
Journal

Informed investments in clean energy technologies
in Nature Energy
Jessika E. Trancik , Erin Baker , Gregory Nemet , Magdalena M. Klemun , Rebecca J. Hanes , Kavita Surana , Douglas J. Arent , Samuel F. Baldwin , Steven A. Gabriel , Steven W. Popper , Valentina Bosetti , Max Henrion , Giacomo Marangoni , Rupert Way

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Beyond Green Jobs - Advancing Metrics and Modeling Approaches for a Changing Labor Market
Penny Mealy , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Camilla Knudsen

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Spatial Selection and the Multiscale Dynamics of Urban Change
Jordan Kemp , Laura Fürsich , Luis M A Bettencourt

Nov 2025
Working Paper

A differentiable model of supply-chain shocks
Saad Hamid , José Moran , Luca Mungo , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Sebastian Towers

Nov 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-24 - Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis
Karolina Bassa , Rama Cont

Oct 2025
Paper

A faster algorithm for efficient longest common substring calculation for non-parametric entropy estimation in sequential data
Bridget Smart , Max Ward , Matthew Roughan

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

Oct 2025
Journal

Concise network models of memory dynamics reveal explainable patterns in path data
in Science Advances
Rohit Sahasrabuddhe , Renaud Lambiotte , Martin Rosvall

Oct 2025
Working Paper

Linking Path-Dependent and Stochastic Volatility Models
Samuel N. Cohen , Cephas Svosve

Sept 2025
Paper

Sandbagging in a Simple Survival Bandit Problem
Joel Dyer , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Five Frictions: Key Labor Market Barriers to Unlocking Job Growth in the Green Transition
Camilla Knudsen , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Joris Bucker , Penny Mealy

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan Kemp , José Lobo

Sept 2025
Paper

Emergent Risk Awareness in Rational Agents under Resource Constraints
Daniel Jarne Ornia , Nicholas Bishop , Joel Dyer , Wei-Chen Lee , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Marco Pangallo

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Beyond pay: AI skills reward more job benefits
Alejandra Mira , Matthew Bone , Fabian Stephany

Sept 2025
Journal

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova , Joos Akkerman , Francesco Bosello , Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis , Ignasi Cortés Arbués , Amineh Ghorbani , Olga Ivanova , Nina Knittel , Jan Kwakkel , Francesco Lamperti , Nicholas R. Magliocca , Giacomo Marangoni , Stefan Nabernegg , Anton Pichler , Adrian Poujon , Karolina Safarzynska , Alessandro Taberna , Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld , Liz Verbeek , Taoyuan Wei

Publications