May 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-12 - Will national renewable costs continue declining?
Lennart Baumgärtner , J. Doyne Farmer

May 2025
Journal

Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: Introduction to the Special Issue
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Jenna Bednar , Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

May 2025
Report

Beyond left versus right, beyond elites versus populists
Dennis Snower

May 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-11 - Innovation Bandits: A Dynamic Portfolio Strategy with Endogenous Rewards
Lennart Baumgärtner , Laurin Köhler-Schindler , Jacquelyn Pless

Apr 2025
Journal

Continuously evolving rewards in an open-ended environment
in Journal of Machine Learning Research
Richard M. Bailey

Apr 2025
Article

How forging ahead with Net Zero could make Britain money
J. Doyne Farmer

Apr 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-09 - Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis
Yuan Fu , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Apr 2025
Journal

Community Decisions to Insure Against Collective Risk: The Case of Maintenance Services for Rural Water Infrastructure
in Journal of Development Studies
Stefania Innocenti , Ben Brunckhorst , Jacob Katuva , Johanna Koehler

Mar 2025
Journal

Globale Krisen bewältigen: Mit Daten zu resilienteren Lieferketten
in Wirtschaftsdienst
Mathilde Bossut , Christian Diem , Dmitry Ivanov , Peter Klimek , Anton Pichler , Johannes Stangl , Stefan Thurner

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-10 - Forecasting technological progress
François Lafond

Mar 2025
Journal

Facilitating India’s Deep Decarbonisation Through Sector Coupling of Electricity with Green Hydrogen and Ammonia
in Energy Storage and Applications
Zac Cesaro , Rasmus Bramstoft , Rene Banares-Alcantara , Matthew C. Ives

Mar 2025
Journal

Mitigation and adaptation in agriculture: effects of framing on farmers’ policy support and sustainable practices
in Climatic Change
Andrea Byfuglien , Valborg Kvakkestad , Stefania Innocenti

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-07 - Intergenerational Poverty in Europe: A Latent Class Analysis
Michele Bavaro , Rafael Carranza , Brian Nolan

Mar 2025
Journal

Why coalitions of wealthy nations should fund others to decarbonize
in Nature
Patrick Bolton , Ottmar Edenhofer , Alissa Kleinnijenhuis , Johan Rockström , Jeromin Zettelmeyer

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-08 - Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil
Anna Berryman , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Marek Hanusch , Penny Mealy , J. Doyne Farmer , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Mar 2025
Journal

Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Podcast

The Life Scientific: Doyne Farmer on making sense of chaos for a better world
J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2025
Working Paper

New models for South African consumption, house prices, and mortgage and non-mortgage debt: Insights for financial stability and monetary transmission
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Feb 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-05 - Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2025
Article

The Clean Energy Revolution Is Unstoppable
Eric Beinhocker , J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Complement or substitute? How AI increases the demand for human skills
Elina Mäkelä , Fabian Stephany

Feb 2025
Journal

Skills or degree? The rise of skill-based hiring for AI and green jobs
in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Matthew Bone , Eugenia González Ehlinger , Fabian Stephany

Feb 2025
Paper

Robust Policy Design in Agent-Based Simulators using Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Akash Agrawal , Joel Dyer , Aldo Glielmo , Michael Wooldridge

Feb 2025
Working Paper

A data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework to estimate the effect of supply chain networks on financial systemic risk
Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Feb 2025
Journal

Human-induced climate change increased 2021–2022 drought severity in horn of Africa
in Weather and Climate Extremes
Joyce Kimutai , Clair Barnes , Mariam Zachariah , Sjoukje Y. Philip , Sarah F. Kew , Izidine Pinto , Piotr Wolski , Gerbrand Koren , Gabriel Vecchi , Wenchang Yang , Sihan Li , Maja Vahlberg , Roop Singh , Dorothy Heinrich , Julie Arrighi , Carolina Pereira Marghidan , Lisa Thalheimer , Cheikh Kane , Emmanuel Raju , Friederike E.L. Otto

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: A Report to the Treasury and Civil Service Select Committee
David F. Hendry

Jan 2025
Article

Net zero: Strategy and tactics
Jennifer L. Castle , Ebba Mark , David F. Hendry , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Jan 2025
Working Paper

How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?
Andrew Martinez

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-04 - Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates
Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Jan 2025
Report

Enabling Adaptation: Sustainable Fiscal Policies for Climate Resilient Development and Infrastructure
Nicola Ranger , Mathias Weidinger , Mark Bernhofen , Matt Burke , Roosa Lambin , Akaraseth Puranasamriddhi , Juan Sabuco , Roberto Spacey Martín

Jan 2025
Paper

How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative
Ximeng Fang , Sven Heuser , Lasse S. Stötzer

Publications