Aug 2025
Journal

A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
in Sustainability Science
Timothy M. Lenton , Thomas W. R. Powell , Steven R. Smith , Frank W. Geels , Floor Alkemade , Martina Ayoub , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Scarlett Benson , Fenna Blomsma , Chris A. Boulton , Joshua E. Buxton , Sara M. Constantino , Sibel Eker , Kai Greenlees , Thomas Homer‑Dixon , Kelly Levin , Michael B. Mascia , Femke Nijsse , Ilona M. Otto , Viktoria Spaiser , Simon Sharpe , Talia Smith

Jul 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-06 - Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making
Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Domenica Cox , Alexandra S. Penn

Jul 2025
Journal

Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Cameron Hepburn , Matthew C. Ives , Sam Loni , Penny Mealy , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , J. Doyne Farmer , Nicholas Stern , Joseph Stiglitz

Jun 2025
Article

Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts
Cormac Lynch , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Pablo Salas Bravo , Jean-Francois Mercure , Femke Nijsse , Jin Qin , Roberto Pasqualino

May 2025
Journal

Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: Introduction to the Special Issue
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Jenna Bednar , Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

May 2025
Paper

Learning Likelihood-Free Reference Priors
Nicholas Bishop , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Joel Dyer , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Apr 2025
Journal

Continuously evolving rewards in an open-ended environment
in Journal of Machine Learning Research
Richard M. Bailey

Apr 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-09 - Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis
Yuan Fu , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-08 - Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil
Anna Berryman , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Marek Hanusch , Penny Mealy , J. Doyne Farmer , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Mar 2025
Journal

Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Podcast

The Life Scientific: Doyne Farmer on making sense of chaos for a better world
J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2025
Paper

Robust Policy Design in Agent-Based Simulators using Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Akash Agrawal , Joel Dyer , Aldo Glielmo , Michael Wooldridge

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-04 - Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates
Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Jan 2025
Paper

How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative
Ximeng Fang , Sven Heuser , Lasse S. Stötzer

Dec 2024
Journal

The impact of prudential regulation on the UK housing market and economy: Insights from an agent-based model
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Marco Bardoscia , Adrián Carro , Marc Hinterschweiger , Mauro Napoletano , Lilit Popoyan , Andrea Roventini , Arzu Uluc

Nov 2024
Chapter

Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , J. Isaac Miller

Nov 2024
Report

External Monetary Policy Review of the Czech National Bank: A Review of the Analytical Framework used for Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Monetary Policy Making
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

Nov 2024
Journal

Supply network stress-testing of food security on the establishment-level
in International Journal of Production Research
Christian Diem , William Schueller , Melanie Gerschberger , Johannes Stangl , Beate Conrady , Markus Gerschberger , Stefan Thurner

Oct 2024
Video

David Vines: How to make a new Keynesian DSGE model that is fit for purpose: a constructive response to the criticisms of Joe Stiglitz
David Vines

Oct 2024
Video

David Hendry: Forecasting UK Inflation during 2021-24
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Jurgen Doornik

Sept 2024
Journal

Approximate Bayesian Computation with Path Signatures
in Proceedings of the Fortieth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

Sept 2024
Journal

Spatial–temporal dynamics of structural unemployment in declining coal mining regions and potentialities of the ‘just transition’
in Energy Policy
Ebba Mark , Ryan Rafaty , Moritz Schwarz

Sept 2024
Chapter

A Review of the Bernanke Report on Economic Forecasting at the Bank of England
David F. Hendry , John Muellbauer

Aug 2024
Journal

The need for better statistical testing in data-driven energy technology modeling
in Joule
Lennart Baumgärtner , Rupert Way , Matthew Ives , J. Doyne Farmer

Aug 2024
Journal

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
in Science
Annika Stechemesser , Nicolas Koch , Ebba Mark , Elina Dilger , Patrick Klösel , Laura Menicacci , Daniel Nachtigall , Felix Pretis , Nolan Ritter , Moritz Schwarz , Helena Vossen , Anna Wenzel

Jul 2024
Paper

Adaptive maximization of social welfare
Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Roberto Colomboni , Maximilian Kasy

Jul 2024
INET Working Paper

No. 2024-04 - National accounting from the bottom up using large-scale financial transactions data: An application to input-output tables
Kerstin Hötte , Andreina Naddeo

Jun 2024
Journal

Global economic order and global economic governance
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Daniel Susskind , David Vines

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Publications