Nov 2024
Chapter

Using Data-Driven Systems Mapping to Contextualise Complexity Economics Insights
Fernanda Senra de Moura , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Nov 2024
Journal

Synchronization of endogenous business cycles
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Marco Pangallo

Nov 2024
Chapter

Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , J. Isaac Miller

Nov 2024
Journal

Editorial: Behavioural spillovers
in Frontiers in Behavioral Economics
Filippos Exadaktylos , Ximeng Fang , Mehdi Farsi

Nov 2024
Report

External Monetary Policy Review of the Czech National Bank: A Review of the Analytical Framework used for Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Monetary Policy Making
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

Nov 2024
Journal

Supply network stress-testing of food security on the establishment-level
in International Journal of Production Research
Christian Diem , William Schueller , Melanie Gerschberger , Johannes Stangl , Beate Conrady , Markus Gerschberger , Stefan Thurner

Oct 2024
Video

David Vines: How to make a new Keynesian DSGE model that is fit for purpose: a constructive response to the criticisms of Joe Stiglitz
David Vines

Oct 2024
Video

David Hendry: Forecasting UK Inflation during 2021-24
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle , Jurgen Doornik

Sept 2024
Journal

Approximate Bayesian Computation with Path Signatures
in Proceedings of the Fortieth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

Sept 2024
Journal

Spatial–temporal dynamics of structural unemployment in declining coal mining regions and potentialities of the ‘just transition’
in Energy Policy
Ebba Mark , Ryan Rafaty , Moritz Schwarz

Sept 2024
Chapter

A Review of the Bernanke Report on Economic Forecasting at the Bank of England
David F. Hendry , John Muellbauer

Aug 2024
Journal

The need for better statistical testing in data-driven energy technology modeling
in Joule
Lennart Baumgärtner , Rupert Way , Matthew Ives , J. Doyne Farmer

Aug 2024
Journal

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
in Science
Annika Stechemesser , Nicolas Koch , Ebba Mark , Elina Dilger , Patrick Klösel , Laura Menicacci , Daniel Nachtigall , Felix Pretis , Nolan Ritter , Moritz Schwarz , Helena Vossen , Anna Wenzel

Jul 2024
INET Working Paper

No. 2024-04 - National accounting from the bottom up using large-scale financial transactions data: An application to input-output tables
Kerstin Hötte , Andreina Naddeo

Jun 2024
Journal

Modelling induced innovation for the low-carbon energy transition: a menu of options
in Environmental Research Letters
Roberto Pasqualino , Cristina Penasco , Peter Barbrook-Johnson , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Sergey Kolesnikov , Sarah Hafner , Femke Nijsse , Francesco Lamperti , Ben Hinder , Yaroslav Melekh , Simon Sharpe , Aled Jones , Laura Diaz Anadon , Timothy M. Lenton , Michael Grubb

Jun 2024
Journal

Global economic order and global economic governance
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Daniel Susskind , David Vines

Jun 2024
Paper

Revisiting Granular Models of Firm Growth
Jose Moran , Angelo Secchi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2024
Book

Making Sense of Chaos: A Better Economics for a Better World
J. Doyne Farmer

Apr 2024
Journal

The effect of capacity constraints on the slope of the Phillips curve
in Oxford Economic Papers
Martin B Holm , Lars O Lerdalen , David Vines

Apr 2024
Journal

Modeling Nonstationary Financial Volatility with the R Package tvgarch
in Journal of Statistical Software
Susana Campos-Martins , Genaro Sucarrat

Apr 2024
Journal

Five sensitive intervention points to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, illustrated by the UK
in Renewable Energy
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2024
Journal

Adaptive maximization of social welfare
in Econometrica
Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Roberto Colomboni , Maximilian Kasy

Feb 2024
Blog

How agent-based models powered by HPC are enabling large scale economic simulations
Ilan Gleiser , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Sam Bydlon

Feb 2024
Journal

Black-box Bayesian inference for agent-based models
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon

Feb 2024
Journal

Economic modelling fit for the demands of energy decision makers
in Nature Energy
Peter Barbrook-Johnson , Jean-Francois Mercure , Simon Sharpe , Cristina Penasco , Cameron Hepburn , Laura Diaz Anadon , J. Doyne Farmer , Timothy M. Lenton

Jan 2024
Journal

Uncertainty, non-linear contagion and the credit quality channel: An application to the Spanish interbank market
in Journal of Financial Stability
Adrián Carro , Patricia Stupariu

Jan 2024
Journal

The role of anticipatory humanitarian action to reduce disaster displacement
in Environmental Research Letters
Lisa Thalheimer , Ezekiel Simperingham , Eddie Wasswa Jjemba

Jan 2024
Journal

Financial market linkages and the sovereign debt crisis
in Journal of International Money and Finance
Susana Campos-Martins , Cristina Amado

Jan 2024
Journal

Interventionally consistent surrogates for agent-based simulators
in NeurIPS 2024
Joel Dyer , Nicholas Bishop , Yorgos Felekis , Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Anisoara Calinescu , Theodoros Damoulas , Michael Wooldridge

Publications