Feb 2026
Chapter

A Brief History of the Emergence of Complexity Economics
Eric Beinhocker , J. Doyne Farmer , Jenna Bednar , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

Feb 2026
Chapter

Compositional Growth Models
José Morán , Massimo Riccaboni

Feb 2026
Chapter

Agent-Based Modeling at Central Banks: Recent Developments and New Challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2026
Chapter

Data-Driven Economic Agent-Based Models
Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Feb 2026
Chapter

Equations vs. Maps: Complexity, Equilibrium, Disequilibrium
Marco Pangallo

Feb 2026
Press Release

Understanding the feedback loops that drive clean energy adoption
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Feb 2026
Journal

Virtuous and vicious cycles in the energy transition
in nature reviews clean technology
Max Collett , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Jan Rosenow , Simon Sharpe , Michael Grubb

Jan 2026
Working Paper

Manipulation in Prediction Markets: An Agent-based Modeling Experiment
Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Nov 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-26 - Using vision-language models to extract network data from images of system maps
Jordan White , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Beyond Green Jobs - Advancing Metrics and Modeling Approaches for a Changing Labor Market
Penny Mealy , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Camilla Knudsen

Nov 2025
Working Paper

Spatial Selection and the Multiscale Dynamics of Urban Change
Jordan Kemp , Laura Fürsich , Luis M A Bettencourt

Nov 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-24 - Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis
Karolina Bassa , Rama Cont

Oct 2025
Book

The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)
Maximilian Kasy

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Five Frictions: Key Labor Market Barriers to Unlocking Job Growth in the Green Transition
Camilla Knudsen , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Joris Bucker , Penny Mealy

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan Kemp , José Lobo

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Marco Pangallo

Sept 2025
Journal

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova , Joos Akkerman , Francesco Bosello , Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis , Ignasi Cortés Arbués , Amineh Ghorbani , Olga Ivanova , Nina Knittel , Jan Kwakkel , Francesco Lamperti , Nicholas R. Magliocca , Giacomo Marangoni , Stefan Nabernegg , Anton Pichler , Adrian Poujon , Karolina Safarzynska , Alessandro Taberna , Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld , Liz Verbeek , Taoyuan Wei

Aug 2025
Journal

A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
in Sustainability Science
Timothy M. Lenton , Thomas W. R. Powell , Steven R. Smith , Frank W. Geels , Floor Alkemade , Martina Ayoub , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Scarlett Benson , Fenna Blomsma , Chris A. Boulton , Joshua E. Buxton , Sara M. Constantino , Sibel Eker , Kai Greenlees , Thomas Homer‑Dixon , Kelly Levin , Michael B. Mascia , Femke Nijsse , Ilona M. Otto , Viktoria Spaiser , Simon Sharpe , Talia Smith

Jul 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-06 - Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making
Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Domenica Cox , Alexandra S. Penn

Jul 2025
Journal

Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Cameron Hepburn , Matthew C. Ives , Sam Loni , Penny Mealy , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , J. Doyne Farmer , Nicholas Stern , Joseph Stiglitz

Jun 2025
Article

Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts
Cormac Lynch , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Pablo Salas Bravo , Jean-Francois Mercure , Femke Nijsse , Jin Qin , Roberto Pasqualino

Jun 2025
Journal

Drivers of Youth Outsiderness in European Labour Markets. A Comment on Marques and Salavisa (Socio-Economic Review, 2017)
in Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics
Svenja Flechtner , Torsten Heinrich

May 2025
Journal

Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: Introduction to the Special Issue
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Jenna Bednar , Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

May 2025
Paper

“Rich-Get-Richer”? Analyzing Content Creator Earnings Across Large Social Media Platforms
Ilan Strauss , Jangho Yang , Mariana Mazzucato

May 2025
Paper

Learning Likelihood-Free Reference Priors
Nicholas Bishop , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Joel Dyer , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Apr 2025
Journal

Continuously evolving rewards in an open-ended environment
in Journal of Machine Learning Research
Richard M. Bailey

Apr 2025
Working Paper

Redefining Fitness: Evolution as a Dynamic Learning Process
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Brandon J Grandison , Jordan Kemp

Apr 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-09 - Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis
Yuan Fu , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-08 - Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil
Anna Berryman , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Marek Hanusch , Penny Mealy , J. Doyne Farmer , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Mar 2025
Journal

Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

Publications