Oct 2025
Book

The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)
Maximilian Kasy

Oct 2025
Journal

Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan Kemp , José Lobo

Sept 2025
Working Paper

Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Marco Pangallo

Sept 2025
Journal

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova , Joos Akkerman , Francesco Bosello , Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis , Ignasi Cortés Arbués , Amineh Ghorbani , Olga Ivanova , Nina Knittel , Jan Kwakkel , Francesco Lamperti , Nicholas R. Magliocca , Giacomo Marangoni , Stefan Nabernegg , Anton Pichler , Adrian Poujon , Karolina Safarzynska , Alessandro Taberna , Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld , Liz Verbeek , Taoyuan Wei

Aug 2025
Journal

A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
in Sustainability Science
Timothy M. Lenton , Thomas W. R. Powell , Steven R. Smith , Frank W. Geels , Floor Alkemade , Martina Ayoub , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Scarlett Benson , Fenna Blomsma , Chris A. Boulton , Joshua E. Buxton , Sara M. Constantino , Sibel Eker , Kai Greenlees , Thomas Homer‑Dixon , Kelly Levin , Michael B. Mascia , Femke Nijsse , Ilona M. Otto , Viktoria Spaiser , Simon Sharpe , Talia Smith

Jul 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-06 - Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making
Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Domenica Cox , Alexandra S. Penn

Jul 2025
Journal

Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Cameron Hepburn , Matthew C. Ives , Sam Loni , Penny Mealy , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , J. Doyne Farmer , Nicholas Stern , Joseph Stiglitz

Jun 2025
Article

Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts
Cormac Lynch , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Pablo Salas Bravo , Jean-Francois Mercure , Femke Nijsse , Jin Qin , Roberto Pasqualino

Jun 2025
Journal

Drivers of Youth Outsiderness in European Labour Markets. A Comment on Marques and Salavisa (Socio-Economic Review, 2017)
in Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics
Svenja Flechtner , Torsten Heinrich

May 2025
Journal

Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: Introduction to the Special Issue
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Jenna Bednar , Maria del Rio-Chanona , J. Doyne Farmer , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , François Lafond , Penny Mealy , Marco Pangallo , Anton Pichler

May 2025
Paper

“Rich-Get-Richer”? Analyzing Content Creator Earnings Across Large Social Media Platforms
Ilan Strauss , Jangho Yang , Mariana Mazzucato

May 2025
Paper

Learning Likelihood-Free Reference Priors
Nicholas Bishop , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Joel Dyer , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Apr 2025
Journal

Continuously evolving rewards in an open-ended environment
in Journal of Machine Learning Research
Richard M. Bailey

Apr 2025
Working Paper

Redefining Fitness: Evolution as a Dynamic Learning Process
Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Brandon J Grandison , Jordan Kemp

Apr 2025
Chapter

Compositional Growth Models
Jose Moran , Massimo Riccaboni

Apr 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-09 - Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis
Yuan Fu , Pete Barbrook-Johnson

Mar 2025
INET Working Paper

2025-08 - Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil
Anna Berryman , Joris Bucker , Fernanda Senra de Moura , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , Marek Hanusch , Penny Mealy , J. Doyne Farmer , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Mar 2025
Journal

Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Podcast

The Life Scientific: Doyne Farmer on making sense of chaos for a better world
J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2025
Paper

Robust Policy Design in Agent-Based Simulators using Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Akash Agrawal , Joel Dyer , Aldo Glielmo , Michael Wooldridge

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Incentivized Network Dynamics in Digital Job Recruitment
Blas Kolic , Manuel Cebrian , Iñaki Ucar , Rosa E. Lillo

Feb 2025
Journal

Modelling dynamic interdependence in nonstationary variances with an application to carbon markets
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Susana Campos-Martins , Cristina Amado

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-04 - Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates
Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Jan 2025
Journal

How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative
in Journal of Public Economics
Ximeng Fang , Sven Heuser , Lasse S. Stötzer

Dec 2024
Journal

The impact of prudential regulation on the UK housing market and economy: Insights from an agent-based model
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Marco Bardoscia , Adrián Carro , Marc Hinterschweiger , Mauro Napoletano , Lilit Popoyan , Andrea Roventini , Arzu Uluc

Nov 2024
Journal

Synchronization of endogenous business cycles
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Marco Pangallo

Nov 2024
Chapter

Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , J. Isaac Miller

Nov 2024
Journal

Editorial: Behavioural spillovers
in Frontiers in Behavioral Economics
Filippos Exadaktylos , Ximeng Fang , Mehdi Farsi

Nov 2024
Report

External Monetary Policy Review of the Czech National Bank: A Review of the Analytical Framework used for Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Monetary Policy Making
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

Nov 2024
Journal

Supply network stress-testing of food security on the establishment-level
in International Journal of Production Research
Christian Diem , William Schueller , Melanie Gerschberger , Johannes Stangl , Beate Conrady , Markus Gerschberger , Stefan Thurner

Publications