Dec 2023
Chapter

Trust, Populism and the Psychology of Broken Contracts
Eric Beinhocker

Nov 2023
Journal

Gradient-assisted calibration for financial agent-based models
in Proceedings of the Fourth ACM International Conference on AI in Finance (ICAIF '23)
Joel Dyer , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Ayush Chopra , J. Doyne Farmer , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Nov 2023
Journal

A Brief History of General-to-specific Modelling
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
David F. Hendry

Nov 2023
Journal

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect
in Climatic Change
Robert F. Kaufmann , Felix Pretis

Nov 2023
Journal

Does protest influence political speech? Evidence from UK climate protest, 2017-2019
in British Journal of Political Science
Christopher Barrie , Thomas G. Fleming , Sam S. Rowan

Oct 2023
Journal

Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Oct 2023
Journal

Building an alliance to map global supply networks
in Science
Anton Pichler , Christian Diem , Alexandra Brintrup , François Lafond , Glenn Magerman , Gert Buiten , Thomas Choi , Vasco M. Carvalho , J. Doyne Farmer , Stefan Thurner

Oct 2023
Journal

What is the price of a skill? The value of complementarity
in Research Policy
Fabian Stephany , Ole Teutloff

Oct 2023
Journal

Black-box inference for differentiable simulators
in Journal of Open Source Software
Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Joel Dyer , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge

Oct 2023
Journal

Taming the housing roller coaster: The impact of macroprudential policy on the house price cycle
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Adrián Carro

Sept 2023
Article

Is it time to reboot welfare economics? Overview
Diane Coyle , Mark Fabian , Eric Beinhocker , Tim Besley , Margaret Stevens

Aug 2023
Journal

The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity with implications for price inflation
in Energy Economics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Jul 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-12 - Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it
John Muellbauer

Jun 2023
Journal

Best-response dynamics, playing sequences, and convergence to equilibrium in random games
in International Journal of Game Theory
Torsten Heinrich , Yoojin Yang , Luca Mungo , Marco Pangallo , Alex Scott , Bassel Tarbush , Samuel Wiese

Jun 2023
Article

Why can economic forecasts go wrong?
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition
in Journal of Econometrics
Susana Campos-Martins , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Normality testing after outlier removal
in Econometrics and Statistics
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Bent Nielsen

May 2023
Journal

Bayesian calibration of differentiable agent-based models
in ICLR 2023 Workshop on AI for Agent-Based Modelling
Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Ayush Chopra , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge , Joel Dyer

May 2023
Working Paper

Least Trimmed Squares Asymptotics: Regression with leverage
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Bent Nielsen

May 2023
Journal

A model where the least trimmed squares estimator is maximum likelihood
in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B: Statistical Methodology
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Soren Johansen , Bent Nielsen

Apr 2023
Journal

Fifty years on: what the Bretton Woods System can teach us about global macroeconomic policy-making
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Paola Subacchi , David Vines

Apr 2023
Journal

From the Bretton Woods system to the global nonsystem: the trials and tribulations of slow learning
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
David Vines , Paola Subacchi

Mar 2023
Working Paper

Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions
Ryan Rafaty , Geoffroy Dolphin , Felix Pretis

Mar 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-05 - Reconstructing firm-level input-output networks from partial information
Andrea Bacilieri , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez

Mar 2023
Journal

Large weather and conflict effects on internal discplacement in Somalia with little evidence of feedback onto conflict
in Global Environmental Change
Lisa Thalheimer , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Feb 2023
Journal

Reconstructing production networks using machine learning
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Luca Mungo , François Lafond , Pablo Astudillo-Estévez , J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2023
Working Paper

Approximate Bayesian Computation with Path Signatures
Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

Dec 2022
Paper

The unequal effects of the health-economy tradeoff during the COVID-19 pandemic
Marco Pangallo , Alberto Aleta , R. Maria Del Rio Chanona , Anton Pichler , David Martin-Corral , Matteo Chinazzi , François Lafond , Marco Ajelli , Esteban Moro , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani , J. Doyne Farmer

Nov 2022
Journal

Political strategies to overcome climate policy obstructionism
in Perspectives on Politics
Sugandha Srivastav , Ryan Rafaty

Nov 2022
Journal

Extreme weather and climate policy
in Environmental Politics
Sam Rowan

Nov 2022
Article

Three growth-friendly reforms for the UK’s broken planning system
John Muellbauer

Nov 2022
Paper

The Thatcher Legacy: Lessons for the future of the UK economy
John Muellbauer , David Soskice

Publications