Mar 2025
Journal

Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez , Neil Ericsson

Mar 2025
Journal

Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Podcast

The Life Scientific: Doyne Farmer on making sense of chaos for a better world
J. Doyne Farmer

Mar 2025
Journal

Wealth inequality in Latin America (2000–2020): data, facts and conjectures
in Oxford Open Economics
Rafael Carranza , Mauricio De Rosa , Ignacio Flores

Mar 2025
Journal

At Which Level Does Unemployment Affect Political Trust? A Multilevel Analysis Across Europe
in Social Indicators Research
Leo Azzollini , Ebru Sanlitürk , Vytenis Deimantas , Selin Köksal

Feb 2025
Working Paper

New models for South African consumption, house prices, and mortgage and non-mortgage debt: Insights for financial stability and monetary transmission
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Feb 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-05 - Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges
András Borsos , Adrián Carro , Aldo Glielmo , Marc Hinterschweiger , Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa , Arzu Uluc

Feb 2025
Article

The Clean Energy Revolution Is Unstoppable
Eric Beinhocker , J. Doyne Farmer

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Complement or substitute? How AI increases the demand for human skills
Elina Mäkelä , Fabian Stephany

Feb 2025
Journal

Skills or degree? The rise of skill-based hiring for AI and green jobs
in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Matthew Bone , Eugenia González Ehlinger , Fabian Stephany

Feb 2025
Paper

Robust Policy Design in Agent-Based Simulators using Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Akash Agrawal , Joel Dyer , Aldo Glielmo , Michael Wooldridge

Feb 2025
Working Paper

A data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework to estimate the effect of supply chain networks on financial systemic risk
Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Feb 2025
Journal

Job loss and earnings inequality: Distributional effects of formal re-employment in Chile
in Economic Analysis and Policy
Rafael Carranza , Joaquín Prieto , Kirsten Sehnbruch

Feb 2025
Journal

Healthcare provision and attitudes towards redistribution. A regional analysis across Europe
in Journal of European Public Policy
Giacomo Melli , Leo Azzollini , Franco Bonomi Bezzo

Feb 2025
Journal

Human-induced climate change increased 2021–2022 drought severity in horn of Africa
in Weather and Climate Extremes
Joyce Kimutai , Clair Barnes , Mariam Zachariah , Sjoukje Y. Philip , Sarah F. Kew , Izidine Pinto , Piotr Wolski , Gerbrand Koren , Gabriel Vecchi , Wenchang Yang , Sihan Li , Maja Vahlberg , Roop Singh , Dorothy Heinrich , Julie Arrighi , Carolina Pereira Marghidan , Lisa Thalheimer , Cheikh Kane , Emmanuel Raju , Friederike E.L. Otto

Feb 2025
Working Paper

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: A Report to the Treasury and Civil Service Select Committee
David F. Hendry

Feb 2025
Journal

An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Robert W. Rich , Joseph Tracy

Jan 2025
Article

Net zero: Strategy and tactics
Jennifer L. Castle , Ebba Mark , David F. Hendry , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Jan 2025
Working Paper

How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?
Andrew Martinez

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-04 - Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates
Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Jan 2025
Report

Enabling Adaptation: Sustainable Fiscal Policies for Climate Resilient Development and Infrastructure
Nicola Ranger , Mathias Weidinger , Mark Bernhofen , Matt Burke , Roosa Lambin , Akaraseth Puranasamriddhi , Juan Sabuco , Roberto Spacey Martín

Jan 2025
Paper

How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative
Ximeng Fang , Sven Heuser , Lasse S. Stötzer

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-03 - Securing Public Support for Fuel Subsidy Reform: Experimental and Policymaker Insights from Malaysia
Preethika Bharadwaj , Stefania Innocenti

Jan 2025
Journal

Changing household structures, household employment, and poverty trends in rich countries
in Journal of European Social Policy
Leo Azzollini , Richard Breen , Brian Nolan

Jan 2025
Chapter

How Collaboration Breaks Down
Simon DeDeo , Jenna Bednar , Eric Beinhocker , Esther Chevrot-Bianco , L. Zachary DuBois , Dorthe Døjbak Håkonsson , Jônatas Manzolli , Ferdinand von Siemens

Jan 2025
Chapter

Fair Social Contracts and the Foundations of Large-Scale Collaboration
Eric Beinhocker

Jan 2025
Journal

Employment dynamics in a rapid decarbonization of the US power sector
in Joule
Joris Bucker , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Anton Pichler , Matthew C. Ives , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2025
INET Working Paper

No. 2025-01 - Technological progress at national level: Increasing diffusion speeds with ever-changing leaders and followers
Brendon Tankwa , Lucas Vazquez Bassat , Pete Barbrook-Johnson , J. Doyne Farmer

Jan 2025
Journal

Climate Change Mitigation Policies for Developing Countries
in Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
Juliette Caucheteux , Sam Fankhauser , Sugandha Srivastav

Jan 2025
Journal

Good intentions, limited action: when do farmers’ intentions to adopt sustainable farming practices turn into actual behaviour?
in Journal of Environmental Psychology
Andrea Byfuglien , Anne M. van Valkengoed , Stefania Innocenti

Jan 2025
Journal

Simulating Long-Run Wealth Distribution and Transmission: The Role of Intergenerational Transfers
in Italian Economic Journal
Michele Bavaro , Stefano Boscolo , Simone Tedeschi

Jan 2025
Article

How the Bank of England could have avoided mis-forecasting UK inflation during 2021–24
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen Doornik , David F. Hendry

Publications