Jun 2024
Journal

Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Michael P. Clements

May 2024
Journal

Stability between cryptocurrency prices and the term structure
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Jennifer L. Castle , Takamitsu Kurita

May 2024
Journal

Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

May 2024
Journal

Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

May 2024
Journal

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Apr 2024
Journal

Modeling Nonstationary Financial Volatility with the R Package tvgarch
in Journal of Statistical Software
Susana Campos-Martins , Genaro Sucarrat

Apr 2024
Journal

Five sensitive intervention points to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, illustrated by the UK
in Renewable Energy
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Mar 2024
Journal

Effective climate clubs require ambition, leverage and insulation: Theorizing issue linkage in climate change and trade
in The Review of International Organizations
Sam S. Rowan

Feb 2024
Journal

Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia
in Climate Risk Management
Lisa Thalheimer , Franziska Gaupp , Christian Webersik

Feb 2024
Journal

Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change
in Journal of Econometrics
Xiyu Jiao , Felix Pretis , Moritz Schwarz

Jan 2024
Journal

The role of anticipatory humanitarian action to reduce disaster displacement
in Environmental Research Letters
Lisa Thalheimer , Ezekiel Simperingham , Eddie Wasswa Jjemba

Jan 2024
Journal

Financial market linkages and the sovereign debt crisis
in Journal of International Money and Finance
Susana Campos-Martins , Cristina Amado

Dec 2023
Journal

Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements

Nov 2023
Journal

A Brief History of General-to-specific Modelling
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
David F. Hendry

Nov 2023
Journal

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect
in Climatic Change
Robert F. Kaufmann , Felix Pretis

Nov 2023
Journal

Does protest influence political speech? Evidence from UK climate protest, 2017-2019
in British Journal of Political Science
Christopher Barrie , Thomas G. Fleming , Sam S. Rowan

Oct 2023
Journal

Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Aug 2023
Journal

The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity with implications for price inflation
in Energy Economics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Andrew B. Martinez

Jul 2023
INET Working Paper

No. 2023-12 - Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it
John Muellbauer

Jun 2023
Article

Why can economic forecasts go wrong?
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition
in Journal of Econometrics
Susana Campos-Martins , David F. Hendry

Jun 2023
Journal

Normality testing after outlier removal
in Econometrics and Statistics
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Bent Nielsen

May 2023
Working Paper

Least Trimmed Squares Asymptotics: Regression with leverage
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Bent Nielsen

May 2023
Journal

A model where the least trimmed squares estimator is maximum likelihood
in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B: Statistical Methodology
Vanessa Berenguer-Rico , Soren Johansen , Bent Nielsen

Mar 2023
Working Paper

Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions
Ryan Rafaty , Geoffroy Dolphin , Felix Pretis

Mar 2023
Journal

Modeling Price and Variance Jump Clustering Using the Marked Hawkes Process
in Journal of Financial Econometrics
Jian Chen , Michael P. Clements , Andrew Urquhart

Mar 2023
Journal

Large weather and conflict effects on internal discplacement in Somalia with little evidence of feedback onto conflict
in Global Environmental Change
Lisa Thalheimer , Moritz Schwarz , Felix Pretis

Feb 2023
Journal

How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries
in International Journal of Forecasting
Oguzhan Cepni , Michael P. Clements

Jan 2023
Working Paper

Interactive Effects of Temperature and Precipitation on Global Economic Growth
Menghan Yuan , Thomas Leirvik , Hande Karabiyik

Nov 2022
Journal

Political strategies to overcome climate policy obstructionism
in Perspectives on Politics
Sugandha Srivastav , Ryan Rafaty

Nov 2022
Journal

Extreme weather and climate policy
in Environmental Politics
Sam Rowan

Nov 2022
Article

Three growth-friendly reforms for the UK’s broken planning system
John Muellbauer

Publications