Oct 2021
Working Paper

Heterogeneity in the Effects of Climate Change on Soybean Yields
Menghan Yuan

Sept 2021
Journal

Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP
in Journal of Applied Econometrics
Michael P. Clements

Sept 2021
Journal

What Drives House Price Cycles? International Experience and Policy Issues
in Journal of Economic Literature
John Duca , John Muellbauer , Anthony Murphy

Sept 2021
Blog

What drives house prices: Lessons from the literature
John Duca , John Muellbauer , Anthony Murphy

Jul 2021
Journal

Analyzing international organizations: How the concepts we use affect the answers we get
in The Review of International Organizations
Charles Roger , Sam Rowan

Jun 2021
Journal

Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michale P. Clements

Apr 2021
Journal

Forecasting principles from experience with forecasting competitions
in Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry

Apr 2021
INET Working Paper

No. 2021-14 - Cost/benefit analysis of Covid-19 pandemic suppression using an SEIR model
Jan Maciejowski , Robert Rowthorn , Scott Sheffield , David Vines , Annie Williamson

Mar 2021
Journal

Modelling Non-Linear Age-Period-Cohort Effects and Covariates, With an Application to English Obesity 2001–2014
in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A: Statistics in Society
Zoë Fannon , Christiaan Monden , Bent Nielsen

Mar 2021
Journal

A Machine Learning Technique for Spatial Interpolation of Solar Radiation Observations
in Earth and Space Science
Thomas Leirvik , Menghan Yuan

Mar 2021
Report

A strategy for achieving net zero emissions by 2050: Written evidence by Dr Jennifer L. Castle and Prof Sir David F. Hendry to the House of Commons Public Accounts Committee
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Feb 2021
Journal

Exogeneity in climate econometrics
in Energy Economics
Felix Pretis

Feb 2021
Journal

Understanding glacial cycles: A multivariate disequilibrium approach
in Quaternary Science Reviews
Felix Pretis , Robert K. Kaufmann

Jan 2021
Journal

Measuring the effects of expectations shocks
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Michael P. Clements , Ana Beatriz Galvão

Jan 2021
Journal

Does Institutional Proliferation Undermine Cooperation? Theory and Evidence from Climate Change
in International Studies Quarterly
Sam S. Rowan

Dec 2020
Journal

Global mean thermosteric sea level projections by 2100 in CMIP6 climate models
in Environmental Research Letters
Svetlana Jevrejeva , Hindumathi Palanisamy , Luke Jackson

Oct 2020
Journal

Statistical Short-term Forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic
in Journal of Clinical Immunology & Immunotherapy
Jurgen A Doornik , David F. Hendry , Jennifer L. Castle

Oct 2020
Journal

How urbanization enhanced exposure to climate risks in the Pacific: A case study in the Republic of Palau
in Environmental Research Letters
David Mason , Akiko Iida , Satoshi Watanabe , Makoto Yokohari , Luke Jackson

Sept 2020
Blog

The US excess mortality rate from COVID-19 is substantially worse than Europe’s
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Sept 2020
Journal

Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting
in International Journal of Forecasting
Michael P. Clements

Sept 2020
Journal

Modelling non-stationary ‘Big Data’
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry , Jurgen A Doornik

Sept 2020
Journal

Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
in International Journal of Forecasting
Jurgen A Doornik , Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Aug 2020
Journal

The Challenge of Using Epidemiological Case Count Data: The Example of Confirmed COVID-19 Cases and the Weather
in Environmental and Resource Economics
François Cohen , Moritz Schwarz , Yangsiyu Lu , Anant Jani , Sihan Li

Aug 2020
INET Working Paper

No. 2020-18 - Transatlantic excess mortality comparisons in the pandemic
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Aug 2020
Journal

Climate Econometrics: An Overview
in Foundations and Trends in Econometrics
Jennifer L. Castle , David F. Hendry

Aug 2020
Report

Forecast-Based Financing and Disaster Displacement: Acting Early to Reduce Humanitarian Impacts of Displacement
Lisa Thalheimer , Eddie Wasswa Jjemba , Ezekiel Simperingham

Aug 2020
Journal

Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario
in Ocean & Coastal Management
Luis M. Abadie , Elisa Sainz de Murietaa , Svetlana Jevrejeva , Ibon Galarraga , Luke Jackson

Jul 2020
Presentation

Excess mortality statistics in the pandemic and country comparisons - presentation
Janine Aron , John Muellbauer

Jun 2020
Journal

Improving normalized hurricane damages
in Nature Sustainability
Andrew Martinez , Andrew B. Martinez

Jun 2020
Journal

Decarbonising the future UK economy
in Vox EU
David Hendry , Jennifer Castle

May 2020
INET Working Paper

No. 2020-11 - Measuring excess mortality: the case of England during the Covid-19 Pandemic
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

May 2020
Blog

Measuring excess mortality: England is the European outlier in the Covid-19 pandemic
John Muellbauer , Janine Aron

Publications