Biography

Joel is a senior postdoctoral researcher developing methodology and tooling for simulation models. He completed his DPhil in computational statistics and machine learning at the University of Oxford’s Mathematical Institute and Institute for New Economic Thinking under the supervision of Prof. J. Doyne Farmer, where his research focus was on likelihood-free parameter inference methods for simulation models. Previously, Joel has worked as a Research Scientist at Improbable, and has held visiting research positions at The Alan Turing Institute and University of Bristol through The Alan Turing Institute’s Enrichment Scheme.

Recent Publications

Sept 2024
INET Working Paper
No. 2024-06 - Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model
Samuel Wiese ,  Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa ,  Joel Dyer ,  Jose Moran ,  Marco Pangallo ,  François Lafond ,  John Muellbauer ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  J. Doyne Farmer
Feb 2024
Journal
Black-box Bayesian inference for agent-based models
in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Joel Dyer ,  Patrick Cannon ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Sebastian Schmon
Jan 2024
Working Paper
Interventionally consistent surrogates for agent-based simulators
Joel Dyer ,  Nicholas Bishop ,  Yorgos Felekis ,  Fabio Massimo Zennaro ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Theodoros Damoulas ,  Michael Wooldridge
Jan 2024
Paper
Population synthesis as scenario generation for simulation-based planning under uncertainty
Joel Dyer ,  Arnau Quera-Bofarull ,  Nicholas Bishop ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Michael Wooldridge
Nov 2023
Journal
Gradient-assisted calibration for financial agent-based models
in Proceedings of the Fourth ACM International Conference on AI in Finance (ICAIF '23)
Joel Dyer ,  Arnau Quera-Bofarull ,  Ayush Chopra ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Michael Wooldridge
Oct 2023
Journal
Black-box inference for differentiable simulators
in Journal of Open Source Software
Arnau Quera-Bofarull ,  Joel Dyer ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Michael Wooldridge
May 2023
Paper
Bayesian calibration of differentiable agent-based models
Arnau Quera-Bofarull ,  Ayush Chopra ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Michael Wooldridge ,  Joel Dyer
Feb 2023
Working Paper
Approximate Bayesian Computation with Path Signatures
Joel Dyer ,  Patrick Cannon ,  Sebastian M Schmon
Jun 2022
INET Working Paper
No. 2022-30 - Calibrating agent-based models to microdata with graph neural networks
Joel Dyer ,  Patrick Cannon ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Sebastian Schmon
Feb 2022
INET Working Paper
No. 2022-05 - Black-box Bayesian inference for economic agent-based models
Joel Dyer ,  Patrick Cannon ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Sebastian Schmon
Dec 2020
Journal
Public risk perception and emotion on Twitter during the Covid-19 pandemic
in Applied Network Science
Joel Dyer ,  Blas Kolic

Recent Events

13 Jun 24
12:00

INET Oxford Summer Research Meeting 2024

The event is open to all INET Oxford researchers, staff, visitors, and associate members

In Person Event
INET RGB
23 Nov 23
14:00
Joel Dyer
04 Nov 21
15:00
Joel Dyer

Programme Teams