Overview

For most of the twentieth century the methodological toolkit of economics was centred on equilibrium models, analytical proofs, and traditional econometric methods. But the advent of inexpensive high-speed computing, the explosion of data made available by the web, and methodological advances in other fields have opened up economics to an array of new tools and methods. INET Oxford's Economic Modelling group (EMoD) has pioneered a new approach to econometrics using computerised automatic model selection that can detect and model multiple structural breaks in time series, model non-linearities, and provide significantly better forecasts than traditional methods. The Complexity Economics Programme has developed novel methods of modelling nested, multiple level networks which are a common feature of many economic systems (e.g. supply chains, interbank networks). The group are also leaders in the use of agent-based modelling and are developing the world's first large-scale agent-based macroeconomic-financial model. INET Oxford researchers are also experimenting with evolutionary models of economic growth, machine learning on 'Big Data' sets and collaborating with experimental economists to incorporate behavioural heuristics derived from laboratory experiments into economic models.

Members of the Institute are also exploring the philosophical, moral, and behavioural foundations of the economy. Examples of this include research on new approaches to normative (i.e., welfare) economics, participation in an initiative on “new moral political economy”, and work on understanding the role of prosocial behaviours, cooperation, institutions, and culture in the economy.

Related Projects


Recent Publications

Oct 2025
Journal
Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer
Sept 2025
Working Paper
Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic ,  Corrado Monti ,  Gianmarco De Francisci Morales ,  Marco Pangallo
Sept 2025
Journal
The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis
in PNAS
Tatiana Filatova ,  Joos Akkerman ,  Francesco Bosello ,  Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis ,  Ignasi Cortés Arbués ,  Amineh Ghorbani ,  Olga Ivanova ,  Nina Knittel ,  Jan Kwakkel ,  Francesco Lamperti ,  Nicholas R. Magliocca ,  Giacomo Marangoni ,  Stefan Nabernegg ,  Anton Pichler ,  Adrian Poujon ,  Karolina Safarzynska ,  Alessandro Taberna ,  Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld ,  Liz Verbeek ,  Taoyuan Wei
Aug 2025
Journal
A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
in Sustainability Science
Timothy M. Lenton ,  Thomas W. R. Powell ,  Steven R. Smith ,  Frank W. Geels ,  Floor Alkemade ,  Martina Ayoub ,  Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  Scarlett Benson ,  Fenna Blomsma ,  Chris A. Boulton ,  Joshua E. Buxton ,  Sara M. Constantino ,  Sibel Eker ,  Kai Greenlees ,  Thomas Homer‑Dixon ,  Kelly Levin ,  Michael B. Mascia ,  Femke Nijsse ,  Ilona M. Otto ,  Viktoria Spaiser ,  Simon Sharpe ,  Talia Smith
Jul 2025
INET Working Paper
No. 2025-06 - Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making
Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  Domenica Cox ,  Alexandra S. Penn
Jul 2025
Journal
Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Cameron Hepburn ,  Matthew C. Ives ,  Sam Loni ,  Penny Mealy ,  Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Nicholas Stern ,  Joseph Stiglitz
Jun 2025
Article
Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts
Cormac Lynch ,  Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  Pablo Salas Bravo ,  Jean-Francois Mercure ,  Femke Nijsse ,  Jin Qin ,  Roberto Pasqualino
Jun 2025
Journal
Drivers of Youth Outsiderness in European Labour Markets. A Comment on Marques and Salavisa (Socio-Economic Review, 2017)
in Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics
Svenja Flechtner ,  Torsten Heinrich
May 2025
Journal
Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: Introduction to the Special Issue
in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Jenna Bednar ,  Maria del Rio-Chanona ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa ,  François Lafond ,  Penny Mealy ,  Marco Pangallo ,  Anton Pichler
May 2025
Paper
Learning Likelihood-Free Reference Priors
Nicholas Bishop ,  Daniel Jarne Ornia ,  Joel Dyer ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Michael Wooldridge
Apr 2025
Journal
Continuously evolving rewards in an open-ended environment
in Journal of Machine Learning Research
Richard M. Bailey
Apr 2025
Chapter
Compositional Growth Models
Jose Moran ,  Massimo Riccaboni
Apr 2025
INET Working Paper
Mar 2025
INET Working Paper
2025-08 - Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil
Anna Berryman ,  Joris Bucker ,  Fernanda Senra de Moura ,  Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  Marek Hanusch ,  Penny Mealy ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  R. Maria del Rio-Chanona
Mar 2025
Journal
Improving empirical models and forecasts with saturation-based machine learning
in Annals of Operations Research
Andrew Martinez ,  Neil Ericsson
Mar 2025
Journal
Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future
in Journal of Economic Literature
Robert Axtell ,  J. Doyne Farmer
View All Related Publications

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