Overview

For most of the twentieth century the methodological toolkit of economics was centred on equilibrium models, analytical proofs, and traditional econometric methods. But the advent of inexpensive high-speed computing, the explosion of data made available by the web, and methodological advances in other fields have opened up economics to an array of new tools and methods. INET Oxford's Economic Modelling group (EMoD) has pioneered a new approach to econometrics using computerised automatic model selection that can detect and model multiple structural breaks in time series, model non-linearities, and provide significantly better forecasts than traditional methods. The Complexity Economics Programme has developed novel methods of modelling nested, multiple level networks which are a common feature of many economic systems (e.g. supply chains, interbank networks). The group are also leaders in the use of agent-based modelling and are developing the world's first large-scale agent-based macroeconomic-financial model. INET Oxford researchers are also experimenting with evolutionary models of economic growth, machine learning on 'Big Data' sets and collaborating with experimental economists to incorporate behavioural heuristics derived from laboratory experiments into economic models.

Members of the Institute are also exploring the philosophical, moral, and behavioural foundations of the economy. Examples of this include research on new approaches to normative (i.e., welfare) economics, participation in an initiative on “new moral political economy”, and work on understanding the role of prosocial behaviours, cooperation, institutions, and culture in the economy.

Related Projects


Recent Publications

Nov 2024
Chapter
Econometric forecasting of climate change
Jennifer L. Castle ,  David F. Hendry ,  J. Isaac Miller
Nov 2024
Journal
Supply network stress-testing of food security on the establishment-level
in International Journal of Production Research
Christian Diem ,  William Schueller ,  Melanie Gerschberger ,  Johannes Stangl ,  Beate Conrady ,  Markus Gerschberger ,  Stefan Thurner
Oct 2024
Video
David Hendry: Forecasting UK Inflation during 2021-24
David Hendry ,  Jennifer Castle ,  Jurgen Doornik
Sept 2024
Journal
Approximate Bayesian Computation with Path Signatures
in Proceedings of the Fortieth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Joel Dyer ,  Patrick Cannon ,  Sebastian M Schmon
Sept 2024
Chapter
Aug 2024
Journal
The need for better statistical testing in data-driven energy technology modeling
in Joule
Lennart Baumgärtner ,  Rupert Way ,  Matthew Ives ,  J. Doyne Farmer
Aug 2024
Journal
Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
in Science
Annika Stechemesser ,  Nicolas Koch ,  Ebba Mark ,  Elina Dilger ,  Patrick Klösel ,  Laura Menicacci ,  Daniel Nachtigall ,  Felix Pretis ,  Nolan Ritter ,  Moritz Schwarz ,  Helena Vossen ,  Anna Wenzel
Jun 2024
Journal
Global economic order and global economic governance
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Daniel Susskind ,  David Vines
May 2024
Journal
Forecasting the UK Top 1% Income Share in a Shifting World
in Economica
Jennifer L. Castle ,  Jurgen A Doornik ,  David F. Hendry
May 2024
Journal
Can the UK achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
in National Institute Economic Review
David F. Hendry ,  Jennifer L. Castle
May 2024
Journal
What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable
in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Jennifer L. Castle ,  David F. Hendry
View All Related Publications

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