Overview

A growing number of economists and social scientists view the economy as a ‘complex adaptive system’ - a distributed network of dynamically interacting, heterogeneous agents, whose behaviours, strategies and relationships evolve over time. Under such a view the economy is more akin to an ecosystem, the brain, or the internet than to the mechanistic models of traditional theory.

The Complexity Economics Programme is applying leading-edge tools from complex systems science to generate new insights into a wide range of economic problems. The group utilises methods such as network analysis and agent-based computer simulations to incorporate realistic portrayals of human behaviour and institutions in its models and better understand how economic systems evolve dynamically over time. This approach enables researchers to see how macro patterns in the economy, such as financial crises, emerge out of micro level behaviours, interactions, and structures. The group is applying these techniques to issues including financial system stability, innovation, and growth, and is also collaborating with the Economics, Inequality & Opportunity programme on inequality and employment, and the Economics of Sustainability programme on issues related to sustainable growth.

The group includes scholars from a number of disciplines, including economics, maths, physics, geography and computer science. The programme is partnered with Oxford’s School of Geography, Mathematical Institute, Department of Computer Science and the Saïd Business School. The programme’s work has generated significant interest from policymakers. Interactions with policymakers include the Bank of England, European Central Bank, New York Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bundesbank, European Commission, IMF, OECD, UK HM Treasury, UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, US Department of Energy, US Senate, and various policy think tanks in the US and UK.

If you would like to keep up to date with our publications, news and events, follow @inet-complexity.bsky.social on BlueSky, @INET_Complexity on X (formerly Twitter) or contact complexity@inet.ox.ac.uk for more information.

Related Projects


Recent Publications

Feb 2026
INET Working Paper
No. 2026-05 - Resilient-to-Fragile Transition and Excess Volatility in Supply Chain Networks
David Martin ,  José Moran ,  Debabrata Panja ,  Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Feb 2026
Chapter
Feb 2026
Chapter
Beyond Efficiency: Labor-Market Resilience in an Age of AI and Net Zero
R. Maria del Rio-Chanona ,  Morgan R. Frank ,  Penny Mealy ,  Esteban Moro ,  Ljubica Nedelkoska
Feb 2026
Chapter
Agent-Based Modeling at Central Banks: Recent Developments and New Challenges
András Borsos ,  Adrián Carro ,  Aldo Glielmo ,  Marc Hinterschweiger ,  Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa ,  Arzu Uluc
Feb 2026
Chapter
Data-Driven Economic Agent-Based Models
Marco Pangallo ,  R. Maria del Rio-Chanona
Feb 2026
Chapter
A Brief History of the Emergence of Complexity Economics
Eric Beinhocker ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Jenna Bednar ,  R. Maria del Rio-Chanona ,  Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa ,  François Lafond ,  Penny Mealy ,  Marco Pangallo ,  Anton Pichler
Feb 2026
Chapter
Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics
Eric Beinhocker ,  Jenna Bednar
Feb 2026
Chapter
Introduction - The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV
Penny Mealy ,  Jenna Bednar ,  Eric Beinhocker ,  R Maria del Rio-Chanona ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa ,  François Lafond ,  Marco Pangallo ,  Anton Pichler
Feb 2026
INET Working Paper
Feb 2026
Press Release
Feb 2026
Journal
Virtuous and vicious cycles in the energy transition
in nature reviews clean technology
Max Collett ,  Pete Barbrook-Johnson ,  Jan Rosenow ,  Simon Sharpe ,  Michael Grubb
Jan 2026
Working Paper
Manipulation in Prediction Markets: An Agent-based Modeling Experiment
Bridget Smart ,  Ebba Mark ,  Anne Bastian ,  Josefina Waugh
Jan 2026
INET Working Paper
Jan 2026
Journal
Evaluating land–sea linkages using land cover change and coral reef monitoring data: A case study from northeastern Puerto Rico
in Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation
Pirta Palola ,  Sasha Hills ,  Simon J. Pittman ,  Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado ,  Antoine Collin ,  Lisa M. Wedding
Dec 2025
Policy Briefing
Complexity economics insights for the Seventh Carbon Budget
Tom Youngman ,  Peter Barbrook-Johnson ,  Emilien Ravigné ,  Brendon Tankwa ,  J. Doyne Farmer
Nov 2025
INET Working Paper
Nov 2025
Journal
Informed investments in clean energy technologies
in Nature Energy
Jessika E. Trancik ,  Erin Baker ,  Gregory Nemet ,  Magdalena M. Klemun ,  Rebecca J. Hanes ,  Kavita Surana ,  Douglas J. Arent ,  Samuel F. Baldwin ,  Steven A. Gabriel ,  Steven W. Popper ,  Valentina Bosetti ,  Max Henrion ,  Giacomo Marangoni ,  Rupert Way
Nov 2025
Working Paper
Beyond Green Jobs - Advancing Metrics and Modeling Approaches for a Changing Labor Market
Penny Mealy ,  Joris Bucker ,  Fernanda Senra de Moura ,  Camilla Knudsen
Nov 2025
Working Paper
Spatial Selection and the Multiscale Dynamics of Urban Change
Jordan Kemp ,  Laura Fürsich ,  Luis M A Bettencourt
Nov 2025
Working Paper
A differentiable model of supply-chain shocks
Saad Hamid ,  José Moran ,  Luca Mungo ,  Arnau Quera-Bofarull ,  Sebastian Towers
Nov 2025
INET Working Paper
Oct 2025
Journal
Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
in Oxford Review of Economic Policy
J. Doyne Farmer
Oct 2025
Journal
Concise network models of memory dynamics reveal explainable patterns in path data
in Science Advances
Rohit Sahasrabuddhe ,  Renaud Lambiotte ,  Martin Rosvall
Oct 2025
Working Paper
Sept 2025
Paper
Sandbagging in a Simple Survival Bandit Problem
Joel Dyer ,  Daniel Jarne Ornia ,  Nicholas Bishop ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  Michael Wooldridge
Sept 2025
Working Paper
Five Frictions: Key Labor Market Barriers to Unlocking Job Growth in the Green Transition
Camilla Knudsen ,  Fernanda Senra de Moura ,  Joris Bucker ,  Penny Mealy
Sept 2025
Working Paper
Decoding the city: multiscale spatial information of urban income
Luís M. A. Bettencourt ,  Ivanna Rodriguez ,  Jordan Kemp ,  José Lobo
Sept 2025
Paper
Emergent Risk Awareness in Rational Agents under Resource Constraints
Daniel Jarne Ornia ,  Nicholas Bishop ,  Joel Dyer ,  Wei-Chen Lee ,  Anisoara Calinescu ,  J. Doyne Farmer ,  Michael Wooldridge
Sept 2025
Working Paper
Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models
Blas Kolic ,  Corrado Monti ,  Gianmarco De Francisci Morales ,  Marco Pangallo
Sept 2025
Working Paper
Beyond pay: AI skills reward more job benefits
Alejandra Mira ,  Matthew Bone ,  Fabian Stephany
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