Andrew Martinez

Associate

Climate Econometrics

Biography

Andrew Martinez in an Economist in the Office of Macroeconomic Analysis at the U.S. Department of the Treasury. He holds a DPhil in Economics from the University of Oxford. His research interests include time series econometrics, forecasting, and applied international macroeconomics.

Recent Publications

The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity with implications for price inflation

Energy Economics 11 Jan 24

A globally consistent local-scale assessment of future tropical cyclone risk

Science Advances 05 May 22

Economics of Sustainability

Smooth robust multi-horizon forecasts

Advances in Econometrics 15 Mar 22

Foundations of Economics

Forecasting: theory and practice

International Journal of Forecasting 15 Mar 22

Improving normalized hurricane damages

Nature Sustainability 08 Jun 20
Weinkle and colleagues use an economy-wide price deflator to produce normalized damage estimates tha...

Economics of Sustainability

Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage

Econometrics 14 May 20
I analyze damage from hurricane strikes on the United States since 1955. Using machine learning meth...

Economics of Sustainability

The paradox of stagnant real wages yet rising ‘living standards’ in the UK

Vox EU 21 Jan 20
Real wages and productivity in the UK have stagnated since 2007, whereas employment has risen consid...

Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter

Working Paper 02 Nov 17

Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance

Paper 01 Sept 17

How quickly can we adapt to change? An assessment of hurricane damage mitigation efforts using forecast uncertainty

Working Paper 01 Aug 17

Policy analysis, forediction, and forecast failure

03 Apr 17

Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations

International Journal of Forecasting 12 Jan 17

How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?

International Journal of Forecasting 01 Apr 15

On the Accuracy and Efficiency of IMF Forecasts: A Survey and Some Extensions

Paper 12 Feb 14

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